BMIE Market 17345

York County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,715 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,679 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,212 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17345
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17345. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.7	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.4	61	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	79.9	80	25%	+20.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,715	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	92,821	76	40%	+30.3
Households (ACS)	3,185	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.2	23	25%	+5.8
Population (ACS)	7,715	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	92,821	76	20%	+15.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 8 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelo's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	145 Glen Dr	open
BESTIES Pizzeria & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4328 George St	open
Bobcat Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	117 S Main St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	255 Glen Drive	open
Central Pa Franchisee Service Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5615 Susquehanna Trl	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4315 George St	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	109 Glen Dr	open
Conewago Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		3480 York Haven Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	4306 N George Street Ext	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	105 Glen Dr	open
Glacier Flakes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service · Café	Dessert · Coffee	28 York St	open
Here We Dough	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck			open
International Truck & Engine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Steamboat Blvd	open
Jim & Nena's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	112 N Main St	open
Love & Pizza of Manchester	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	229 S Main St	open
Manchester Cafe	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	4302 N George Street Ext	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4245 N George St Extd	open
Otaka Sushi & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	117 S Main St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4167 N George Street Ext	open
Parma Pizza & Grill Parma Pizza Dallastown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	220 Maple St	open
Peking	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	4165 N George Street Extension	open
Sips Cafe and Creamery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4191 N George St Ext	open
Smash N Batter	Food truck		3995 N George St Ext	open
Smok'n Hogs BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4336 N George Street Ext	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	115 Glen Drive Space #9	open
Tacos Las Momias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3995 N George St Ext	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	5	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	5	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	19	6	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	21	6	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17345. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17347	3.3 mi	1	2016
17318	3.6 mi	1	2016
17502	3.7 mi	3	2023
17370	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.