BMIE Market 17362

York County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,730 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±803 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,397 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,264 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,702 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,493 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$292,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17362
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17362. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.8	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.3	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	55.9	56	25%	+14.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,730	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,702	80	40%	+32.1
Households (ACS)	5,647	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	14,730	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	98,702	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Hogs BBQ Spring Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4 S Water St	open
Aunt Netties Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2030 Thistle Hill Dr	open
Buon Appetito Ristorante	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6147 York Rd	open
Buona Fortuna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6147 York Rd	open
Dsga Associates, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 W Hanover St Ste 4	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee	39 West Hanover Street	open
Genova's Pizza & Sub Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · American	66 S Main St	open
Goofy's	Bar		5965 York Rd	open
Great Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	470 N Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	500 North Main Street	open
Jackson Square Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		989 Jackson Square Rd	open
Jefferson Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 State Rte 3041	open
Jim & Nena's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	31 W Hanover St	open
Kerri's Pawsome Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2143 Stoverstown Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	502 N Main St	open
Luciano's Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4 Berlin St	open
Papertown Dairy Bar & Restaurant	Casual dining · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	267 N Main St	open
Ray's Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	103 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	31 W Hanover St	open
The Victorian Parlor	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	48 S Main St	open
Thunder Ridge Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		932 Hill Top Dr S	open
Water Street Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	38 S Water St # ST-1036	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	16	10	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	10	5	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	13	7	6	1	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	13	7	6	1	—	6	NAICS1997
2000	13	7	6	1	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	13	8	7	1	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	10	5	4	1	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	11	7	6	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	8	1	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	6	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17362. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17311	2.6 mi	1	2008

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.