BMIE Market 17545
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±973 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,256 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,531 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $84,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,626 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,314 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $288,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 69.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17545 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +40.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +55.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +47.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +40.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 36–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17545. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.7 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.1 | 75 | 35% | +26.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.8 | 82 | 25% | +20.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,556 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,704 | 68 | 40% | +27.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,578 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 55 | 85 | 35% | +29.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.2 | 60 | 25% | +14.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,556 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,704 | 68 | 20% | +13.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 40.9 | 88 | 50% | +43.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 55 | 85 | 30% | +25.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 47.6 | 62 | 20% | +12.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Italian 7 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Dessert 10 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchor and Mermaid Wharf Mount Hope Estate | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2775 Lebanon Rd | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1201 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Artifice Ales & Mead | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 55 N Main St | open | |
| Artifice Ales & Mead | Brewery / taproom | 55 N Main St | open | |
| Asia Carry Out | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 705 Graystone Rd | open |
| BacioPizzaItalianGrill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1223 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Brick House Cafe & Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | 60 N Main St | open |
| Buckwalters Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | Root's Old Mill Flea Market, 705 Graystone Rd | open |
| China One China One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 105 Doe Run Rd | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 343 S Main St | open |
| City Stars Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 665 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Colebrook Wholesale Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1948 N Colebrook Rd | open |
| corner house grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 196 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Dips & Doodads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Divine Swine BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 2684 Lebanon Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2101 Strickler Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 3190 Lebanon Rd Hess | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 675 Lancaster Rd Hess | open |
| E & E Family Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3068 Lebanon Rd | open |
| Emy's Candy Land | Dessert | 49 N Main St | open | |
| Evans Tsc 3 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2201 Strickler Rd Ste C | open | |
| Forklift & Palate Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 75 Champ Blvd | open |
| Francesco's Pizza & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 30 S Main St | open |
| Frisco's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2101C Strickler Rd | open |
| Fuddruckers Fuddruckers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2001 Strickler Rd | open |
| Fullservicemanheim | Café | Coffee | 1469 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Glasshouse Wineworks | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 8 S Charlotte St | open | |
| Good Burrito Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2101 Strickler Rd Ste E | open |
| Graziano's Pizzeria and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 107 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Hearth & Harrow | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 2100 Town Sq N | open | |
| Jerusalem food n good’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Jimbo's Deli & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 345 S Main St | open |
| Keagy's Produce | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Kountry Kitchen Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 944 Lebanon Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2965 Lebanon Road | open |
| Le’s Grill at Root’s Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Lintias | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 196 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Manheim 1 Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 196 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Manheim Twin Kiss | Dessert | Burgers · Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 309 S Main St | open |
| Manheim/Mount Joy Fuddruckers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2001 Strickler Rd, Ste B | open |
| Mary's Cheers Bar | Bar | 3068 Lebanon Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2000 Strickler Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 711 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Mick's All American Pub | Bar | 2201 Strickler Rd | open | |
| Mill 72 Bake Shop & Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 45 N Main St | open |
| Nascar Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2001 Strickler Rd | open | |
| Neptune’s Best Crab cakes at Root’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| New Holland Meat Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Nolt's Chicken BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chicken / wings · American | 403 Thrush Dr | open |
| Papa Sneaux | Food truck | 705 Graystone Rd | open | |
| Peters' Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1125 Fairview Rd | open |
| Pho Lotus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1223 Lancaster Rd Ste 107 | open |
| Pies Galore & More | Bakery | Bakery | 705 Graystone Rd | open |
| Presto Fast Italian (Donegal Square) PastaNito | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2201-B Strickler Rd | open |
| Rino’s Kitchen & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1711 Lebanon Rd | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 85 Doe Run Rd Store #13 | open |
| Rita’s of Manheim PA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Rosie's Creative Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2385 Junction Rd | open |
| S. Herr, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 215 S Charlotte St | open | |
| Smith's Candies Root's Market | Dessert | Dessert | 705 Graystone Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1 N Main St | open |
| Susquehanna Soda Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1469 Lancaster Rd | open |
| Tacos El Wey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Mexican · Latin American (other) · Italian | 39 Market Square | open |
| The Bbq Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 705 Graystone Rd | open |
| The Cats Meow | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 215 S Charlotte St | open |
| The Junction Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 210 Memorial Dr | open | |
| The Mobile Chicken House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | open | |
| The Sink | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 S Main St | open | |
| Todays Grind Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 87 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2201 Strickler Rd | open |
| Two Cousins Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 171 Doe Run Rd | open |
| Waltz Vineyards Estate Winery Waltz Vineyards Estate Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1599 Old Line Rd | open | |
| Watson's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Coffee | 185 Lehman Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 30 | 29 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 36 | 32 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 29 | 6 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 30 | 6 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.