BMIE Market 17737

Lycoming County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,220 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,852 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$839 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$203,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	60.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17737
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17737. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.3	57	40%	+22.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.9	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	73.6	74	25%	+18.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,970	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	70,131	47	40%	+18.9
Households (ACS)	2,663	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	5,970	63	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	70,131	47	20%	+9.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angus Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5253 US-220	open
Broad Street Breads	Bakery	Bakery	71 S Broad St	open
Country Fork	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	50 S Main St	open
Harmony Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	20 N Main St	open
Kathy's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	21 S Main St	open
Lindauer's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		99 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	755 Route 405 Hwy	open
Oip Hughesville Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Quick service	Italian · Coffee · Pizza	395 S Main St	open
Papa's Pizza Papa's Pizza Springfield	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	8 S Main St	open
Railroad Street Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	20 S Railroad St	open
Rooted and Grounded Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	20 W Water St	open
Silver Thorn Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	104 N Main St	open
Subhouse Subs	Quick service		20 S Railroad St	open
Tivoli Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	9522 US-220	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	7	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	11	6	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	10	5	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	12	6	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	13	6	3	3	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	11	4	2	2	—	6	NAICS1997
2000	13	6	2	4	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	13	6	3	3	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	11	5	4	1	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	10	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	11	7	5	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	13	8	7	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	12	7	6	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	11	7	6	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	7	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	10	8	1	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	9	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	8	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	8	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17737. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17762	0.9 mi	1	1994

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.