BMIE Market 17756

Lycoming County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±703 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,408 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,755 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	107.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17756
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-22.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17756. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.5	68	40%	+27.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.2	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	18.3	18	25%	+4.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,856	74	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,043	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	4,482	73	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-22.6	13	35%	+4.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.7	41	25%	+10.2
Population (ACS)	12,856	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	77,043	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	-22.6	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 12 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	300 Lycoming Mall Cir Ste 2029	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	300 Lycoming Mall Circle Suite 234	open
Basil Wood Fired Kitchen and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	213 N Main St	open
Bigfoot Subs	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	101 Kristi Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	180 S Lycoming Mall Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Lycoming Crossing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	420 S Lycoming Mall Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · Coffee · American	260 S Lycoming Mall Rd	open
Deo Gratius Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 S Main St	open
Dinos	Quick service	Italian · Pizza	300 Lycoming Mall Cir	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1849 Route 405 Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1380 E Penn St	open
Eagle Rock Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		507 Sherman St	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3000 Lycoming Mall Rd Ste 108	open
Gellella Terra Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		411 Gardner Rd	open
Hall's Station Sub Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	273 Lycoming Mall Dr	open
Hooplas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Hull's Landing	Bar	American · Steakhouse	27 PA-442	open
Kaydins Kones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2579 US-220	open
Kellogg Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		572 Industrial Park Rd	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		140 Lycoming Mall Dr	open
Main Street Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	12 S Main St	open
May's Drive-In May's Drive In Ashland	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1920 PA-405	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	298 Lycoming Mall	open
McDonald's	Quick service		298 Lycoming Mall Dr	open
Milly's	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1466 John Brady Dr	open
Mountainview Snack Shack	Bakery	Bakery	37 Mountain View Rd	open
Mulan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9 N Washington St	open
Nancy And Johnny's Country Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3146 Quaker Church Rd	open
New Fern Park	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9175 Susquehanna Trail	open
Original Italian Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3 S Washington St	open
Orlando's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 S Main St	open
Pennsylvania Chop House	Bar		3146 Quaker Church Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	170 S Lycoming Mall Rd	open
Raider Nation Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Rider Rd	open
Roast & Refuel	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9 N Main St	open
Sammy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1864 Lycoming Mall Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	410 S Lycoming Mall Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1376 E Penn St	open
Sweet Memories Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	27 S Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	155 Muncy Creek Blvd	open
Tbjs Holdings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		530 Lycoming Mall Dr	open
The Village Baker	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	21 S Main St	open
Water Street Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		113 W Water St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	40 Neidigs Drive	open
Zaspy's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	W Mechanic St	open
Brewers Caffe	Café	Coffee	300 Lycoming Mall Cir	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	26	21	10	6	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	20	8	5	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	29	25	11	8	5	3	NAICS1997
2001	30	26	11	9	5	3	NAICS1997
2002	26	22	11	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	25	24	12	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	28	26	14	9	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	28	27	13	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	27	25	12	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	29	27	11	12	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	28	26	12	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	29	26	13	10	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	33	26	14	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	35	28	18	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	35	28	15	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	39	31	16	11	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	36	29	15	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	31	26	14	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	34	26	15	8	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	33	29	16	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	16	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	26	14	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	27	14	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	28	13	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	26	14	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	24	14	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17756. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.