BMIE Market 18014

Northampton County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,097 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,617 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,387 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,833 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$288,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18014
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+112.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18014. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.9	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.5	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	55.0	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,097	73	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	82,027	65	40%	+25.9
Households (ACS)	4,617	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.1	56	25%	+14.1
Population (ACS)	12,097	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	82,027	65	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 6 · Italian 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 9 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
104 Bath	Bar		104 E Main St	open
2022 Spuds & Suds Festival	Food truck		Chestnut & Northampton Streets	open
American Legion Post 470	Bar			open
Aunt Ophilas Gourmet Salsa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5966 Nor Bath Blvd	open
Bath Chemical Engine and Hose	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		135 S Walnut St	open
BeanBath Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	2425 Plaza Ct	open
Bell Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2716 Community Dr	open
Blue Moo Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2693 Community Dr	open
Bracco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7596A Beth Bath Pike	open
Byron Place Pizzeria and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	124 S Walnut St	open
Cookies & Desserts by Anaeliss	Dessert	Dessert		open
Cornerstone Pub	Bar		506 Penn St	open
Daily Grind	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	116 E Main St	open
Don Chuy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	572 Nazareth Dr Ste 1	open
Duncan's Blue Lantern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3328 Valley View Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	107 E Main St	open
Elbowz & Assholezz Saloon	Bar			open
Fairways Cafe	Café	Coffee	2679 Klein Rd	open
Fleur De Sucre	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	517 E Northampton St	open
Isabella's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5958 Nor-Bath Blvd	open
Jin Long Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	370 S Walnut St	open
Joe's Steak Shack	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Kickers Pub	Bar	American	204 W Main St	open
Kiffle Kitchen Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	589 Moorestown Rd	open
Mattie's Strudel Haus	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · German / Eastern European	126 W Main St	open
Moore Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · American	2712 Mountain View Dr	open
My Place Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	270 E Northampton St	open
P-Ville	Bar			open
Panno's Home Of The 18 Inch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	7200 Airport Rd	open
Pizzaville Italian Eatery Pizzaville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	572 Nazareth Dr	open
Pp Tavern Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		943 Point Phillips Rd	open
Randevoo Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2160 Community Dr	open
Red Wolf Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	201 W Main St	open
Rockland Bakery Rockland Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7276 Park Dr	open
Sprinkles Ice Cream Shop and Trucks	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	626 E Main St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	349 South Walnut Street, Bath Shell	open
The 19th Hole	Bar		359 S Egg Rd	open
The Bath Exchange	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		204 W Main St	open
The Turn In Restaurant	Casual dining	American	162 N Walnut St	open
Town & Country Restaurant Town & Country Super Market / Country Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	350 S Walnut St	open
Turn In American Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	162 N Walnut St	open
Villa Grande Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	225 W Northampton St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	19	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	20	14	6	7	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	14	6	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	17	13	6	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	6	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	13	7	4	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	18	10	5	4	1	6	NAICS2002
2006	16	10	6	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	18	12	8	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	20	15	9	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	14	9	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	21	17	8	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	16	9	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	20	14	9	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	21	16	10	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	19	14	10	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	20	14	9	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	19	15	10	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18014. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18038	4.3 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.