BMIE Market 18066

Lehigh County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,005 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,326 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,599 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$328,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18066
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	5 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18066. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.6	73	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.7	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	4.9	5	25%	+1.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,102	64	40%	+25.4
Median household income (ACS)	109,115	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	2,331	63	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	6,102	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	109,115	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 5 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.0
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 7 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bakery 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blue Mountain Vineyards and Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		7627 Grape Vine Dr	open
Cake Designs by Angie	Bakery	Bakery	7862 Sassafras Rd	open
China II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6299 PA-309	open
Don Corleone's Restaurant & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6301 PA-309	open
Dumb Ox Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4896 Grubers Rd	open
Eight Oaks Craft Distillers	Winery / distillery / taproom		8008 Saw Mill Rd New Tripoli PA 18066	open
Eight Oaks Farm Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		7189 Route 309	open
Floured Fields Farmstand & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	8023 Allemaengel Rd	open
Giuseppe’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7432 PA-309	open
Hackett Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		8375 Carpet Rd	open
Katie's Macalush Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6397 Route 309	open
LaKriolla	Food truck		7070 Route 309	open
Lynnville Hotel	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8148 Bausch Rd	open
New Tripoli Hotel	Casual dining · Bar	American	6799 Madison St	open
Ridgeview Farm and Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		8375 Carpet Rd	open
Rollie's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6301-6307 Pennsylvania 309	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	6391 Route 309 Ste A	open
The Bagel Bunch	Bakery	Bakery	6299 Route 309	open
The Buttered Crumb Bakery & Café	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	6937 PA-309	open
The Nesting Box	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6299 PA-309	open
Two Kings Pizzeria of New Tripoli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7366 PA-309	open
Weathered Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		7618 Carpet Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18066. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18053	4.2 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.