BMIE Market 18088

Northampton County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,375 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,559 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,495 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$252,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,856 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18088
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18088. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.8	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.6	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	50.1	50	25%	+12.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,488	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	82,083	65	40%	+25.9
Households (ACS)	3,296	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.9	40	25%	+10.1
Population (ACS)	8,488	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	82,083	65	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	23.1	48	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · American 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Ca Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4330 Lehigh Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	201 S Best Ave	open
D'Sopranos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	255 S Best Ave	open
Diamond Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4330 Lehigh Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	325 S Best Ave	open
Great Wall Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	200 S Best Ave	open
Heimer's Brew House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4685 Lehigh Dr	open
Legend Auto Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)		139 N Railroad St	open
Mama's Little Sicily Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4613 W Mountain View Dr	open
Mamas Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4613 W Mountain View Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	473 Main St	open
Mr Doggy Style Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	27 Main St	open
Mr Doggy Style Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27 Main St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	350 Best Ave., #C	open
Refreshment Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4548 Lehigh Dr (PA-248)	open
Rice 'N Beans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4622 Lehigh Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	405 S Best Ave	open
Rita’s of Walnutport PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Scoopendorf’s Ice Cream Company	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	350 S Best Ave E	open
Soaked Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		567 Blue Mountain Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	350 D. Best Avenue	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	506 Old Main Street	open
Valley Pizza Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	503 Old Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	8	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	4	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	5	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	5	7	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18088. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18035	1.4 mi	1	2014
18086	1.9 mi	—
18059	3.0 mi	1	2016
18012	3.6 mi	—
18038	4.2 mi	2	2016
18071	4.7 mi	16	2023
18080	4.9 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.