BMIE Market 18436

Wayne County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±654 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,391 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,092 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,089 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$239,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	98.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18436
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18436. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.6	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.2	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	74.5	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,569	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,498	46	40%	+18.5
Households (ACS)	5,391	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.8
Population (ACS)	13,569	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,498	46	20%	+9.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Burgers 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · German / Eastern European 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 6 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Al Dentes Pizzeria and Creamery - Golf Park Drive lake ariel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1148 Golf Park Dr	open
Anna-capri Diner	Casual dining	American	732 Hamlin Hwy	open
Ariel View Inn	Bar	American	1400 Lake Ariel Hwy	open
Big Dog Daddy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	895 Ledgedale Rd	open
Bongo's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2136 Lake Ariel Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1174 Mt Cobb Rd	open
Candy Fantasy & Gifts	Dessert		586 Easton Tpke	open
Country Cafe Hamlin Pennsylvania	Café	Coffee · American	348 Hamlin Hwy	open
Drafts Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1256 Hamlin Hwy	open
Fork + Forest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1284 Hamlin Hwy	open
Harlins	Food truck		1284 Hamlin Hwy	open
Hollows Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	727 Hamlin Hwy	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	133 Twin Rocks Rd	open
Isabella's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1181 Mt Cobb Rd	open
Kay's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	Highway 191	open
Keatings Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1642 Archbald Mountain Rd	open
Ledgedale BBQ Pit & Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1387 Ledgedale Rd	open
Lori's Corner Kitchen	Dessert · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Breakfast	630 Hamlin Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	452 PA-590	open
Mr Yock's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1387 Ledgedale Rd	open
Nurnberger Bierhaus	Bar	German / Eastern European	2136 Lake Ariel Hwy	open
Palermo's Pizza Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · Italian · British / Irish pub food	1315 Hamlin Hwy	open
Pieros pizza and Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	Route 590	open
Ravenhaus Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	British / Irish pub food	356 Tisdel Rd	open
Rif's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	605 Hamlin Hwy	open
Rise And Shine Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	543 PA-590	open
Ritter's Winery & Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1459 Mt Cobb Rd Winery	open
Rockledge Snack Shack	Food truck · Quick service		1010 Calypso Dr	open
Rule 62 Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	Easton Tpke	open
Skunk Hollow Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1642 Mt Cobb Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	403 Belmont Street	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	496 Hamlin Hwy	open
The Art of the Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	417 Hamlin Hwy	open
The Boardwalk Sweets & Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	632 Hamlin Hwy	open
The Brew	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	417 Hamlin Hwy	open
The Grill Father	Casual dining · Bar	American · Sandwiches	6 Purdytown Turnpike	open
The Lumber Shack Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	374 Sawmill Rd	open
The Shake Place	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1513 Mt Cobb Rd	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1174 Mt Cobb Rd	open
Totem Pole Inn	Bar · Casual dining		685 Goose Pond Rd	open
Uncle Pete’s Italian Ices	Dessert	Dessert	19 Locklin Dr	open
Pat's Country Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		732 Hamlin Hwy	closed
Sports Car Prep	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2061 Moosic Lake Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	8	2	4	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	3	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	11	5	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	3	3	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	3	2	3	3	NAICS1997
2003	11	7	2	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	3	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	11	7	3	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	7	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	7	6	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	8	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	10	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	17	12	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	10	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18436. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.