BMIE Market 18444

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,604 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±767 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,403 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,778 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,683 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,059 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$261,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18444
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+58.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 11–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18444. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.0	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.0	50	35%	+17.5
Market Momentum Score	24.8	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,604	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	84,246	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	5,403	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	13,604	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	84,246	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.5	19	50%	+9.5
10-year restaurant growth	-5	21	30%	+6.3
20-year restaurant growth	18.8	45	20%	+9.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 11 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 9 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Catering 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3D's Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	328 Scranton-Pocono Hwy	open
Cabin Cafe	Café	Coffee		open
Chesik's Bar	Bar · Casual dining		431 PA-435	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	410 N Main St	open
Country Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	875 Drinker Turnpike	open
Country cafe daleville	Restaurant (service type not stated)		PA-435, Moscow, PA 18444, United States	open
Curran Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6230 Bloomington Rd	open
Dbr Management Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Old State Rd	open
Delish On Main	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	254 N Main St	open
Doc's Hard Rock Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		110 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	921 Drinker Turnpike	open
Ferri's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	106 Church St	open
FuDa Sushi, Hibachi & Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	480 Daleville Hwy	open
Kay's Daily Grind	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	484 Highway	open
Kay's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Italian	400 PA-435	open
Lana’s Kitchen PA	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	100 S Main St	open
Leonor's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	135 N Main St	open
Market Street Inn Market Street Inn of Mackinac Island	Bar · Casual dining		140 Market St	open
Mendicino's Pizza and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	Shoprite Complex, 921 Drinker Turnpike #28	open
Moscow Deli and Food Mart	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	206 S Main St	open
Olde Brook Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1035 PA-307	open
Pappy's	Casual dining · Bar		1091 PA-502	open
Pappy's Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1091 Church St	open
Rashford's Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Seafood	814 PA-690	open
Riss's Sweet Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	328 Scranton-Pocono Hwy	open
Slingshots Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	110 S Main St	open
Tasty Swirl	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	921 Drinker Turnpike	open
The Barrel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	881 State Route 307	open
The Blue Shutters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Memorial Dr	open
The Caboose Food & Ice Cream	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	100 Madisonville Rd	open
The High Bridge House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1092 PA-502	open
The Mess Hall	Casual dining	American	1064 Drinker Tpke	open
The Summit at Maple Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	418 Maple Grove Rd	open
Three Bakers	Bakery	Bakery	360 J and J Rd	open
Van Brunt Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Van Brunt Street	open
Wildflour Eatery And Desserts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American · BBQ	480 Daleville Hwy Ste 5	open
Wood Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3491 Hornbaker Cemetary Rd	open
Y Knot Pub & Eatery	Bar		104 G C Smith St	open
Zacharellis Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	702 Saint Marys Villa Rd	open
S&s Diner	Casual dining	American	922 Drinker Tpke	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	16	11	8	1	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	17	12	9	1	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	9	2	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	19	13	8	2	3	5	NAICS1997
2002	19	14	8	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	11	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	16	11	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	10	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	12	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	19	17	12	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	19	13	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	19	12	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	17	9	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	19	12	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	20	14	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	14	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	20	14	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	25	21	15	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	19	12	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	21	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	21	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	10	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	18	11	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	19	12	4	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18444. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.