BMIE Market 18466

Monroe County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,794 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,814 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,697 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,014 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$208,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18466
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18466. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.0	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.1	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	23.2	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,794	79	40%	+31.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,169	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	5,814	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.4	97	25%	+24.1
Population (ACS)	17,794	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	80,169	62	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Avis Cakes and Savory Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	540 Sterling Rd	open
Black Horse Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		116 Blackhorse St	open
Deli Brothers	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	540 Sterling Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	515 Sterling Rd Route 196	open
Flavor of the Med	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	1312 Winding Way	open
Gotta Go Grab 'N Go Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	205 Route 196	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	418 Sterling Rd	open
Kuebler mountain hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Main St	open
Lakeside Grill & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	164 Lake Rd	open
Mamma Maria's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	934 Memorial Blvd	open
Nino C Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	674 PA-196	open
Purge Social Lounge	Bar		970 Sterling Rd	open
Robins Nest Soul Food Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	396 Sterling Rd	open
Seafood Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	540 Sterling Rd Route 196	open
Smitty's Fish Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		884 Pennsylvania Rt 196	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	State Route 196, Unit F	open
Taste Of Puerto Rico	Food truck		863 Route 196	open
The Brookside Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		593 Main St	open
The Landing	Bar		11 Hap Arnold Blvd	open
VFW Post 509	Bar		1 Goodwin Street	open
Witchkraft Sandwich Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		655 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	3	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18466. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18342	4.1 mi	3	2023
18346	4.3 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.