BMIE Market 18624

Carbon County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	289 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	718 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,594 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	60.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$578,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±220,247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18624
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	69.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 4–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18624. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.5	49	40%	+19.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28.3	28	35%	+9.9
Market Momentum Score	31.0	31	25%	+7.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	487	21	40%	+8.4
Median household income (ACS)	116,146	89	40%	+35.6
Households (ACS)	289	27	20%	+5.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	102.7	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	487	21	20%	+4.2
Median household income (ACS)	116,146	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 7 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Boulder View Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		123 Lake Harmony Rd	open
Chef J. Gagion's Private Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		35 Hospitality Way	open
Gagliano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2809 PA-903	open
Hog Heaven’ Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast · Dessert · American	16 N Lake Dr	open
Lake Harmony Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	252 Lake Harmony Rd	open
Lake View Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	100 Mosey Wood Rd at Split Rock Resort	open
Louie's Prime Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	244 Lake Harmony Rd	open
Nick's Lake House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	20 S Lake Dr	open
Shenanigans	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		286 Lake Harmony Rd	open
Shenanigans Fine Dining Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 S Lake Dr	open
Sunset Green Restaurant	Bar	American	140 Wolf Hollow Rd	open
Terra Cottage Cafe and Gifts	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	291 Lake Harmony Rd	open
Thirsty Moose Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6 Lake Dr	open
Triple Crown Chophouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches · American · Steakhouse · Brazilian	35 Hospitality Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18624. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18210	5.0 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.