BMIE Market 18834

Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,245 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,691 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,042 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,765 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$219,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18834
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18834. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.3	51	40%	+20.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.7	34	35%	+11.8
Market Momentum Score	19.3	19	25%	+4.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,245	53	40%	+21.4
Median household income (ACS)	70,323	47	40%	+19.0
Households (ACS)	1,350	55	20%	+10.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.5	41	25%	+10.3
Population (ACS)	3,245	53	20%	+10.7
Median household income (ACS)	70,323	47	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-40	7	50%	+3.5
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Dessert 2 · BBQ 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Armetta's Pizzeria & Pub	Bar	Pizza · Italian	2092 PA-848	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2173 PA-848	open
D & H Penn Can Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5076 PA-547	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	1623 Oliver Road	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1550 Oliver Rd	open
Green Gables	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	316 Main St	open
Hot Pies Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	253 Jackson St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1550 Oliver Rd	open
Millard's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Pizza · Coffee	4080 PA-492	open
New Milford Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	17 Broad St	open
Randalls' Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	17336 US-11	open
Shaffer's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	897 Main St	open
Uncle Charlie's Bella Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	914 Main St	open
Wild Hearts	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1013 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	9	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	5	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	4	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	3	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	3	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	4	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	5	3	1	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	8	5	2	2	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	2	2	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	3	1	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	5	1	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	3	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	5	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18834. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18823	4.2 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.