BMIE Market 18840

Bradford County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,870 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,731 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$171,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,851 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18840
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 25–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18840. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.0	55	40%	+22.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.8	39	35%	+13.6
Market Momentum Score	33.4	33	25%	+8.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,968	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,214	28	40%	+11.3
Households (ACS)	4,870	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.5	26	25%	+6.5
Population (ACS)	10,968	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	59,214	28	20%	+5.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.5	24	50%	+12.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 14 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Quick service 9 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1882 On Desmond	Casual dining · Bar	American	128 Desmond St	open
Alliger's House of Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	201 Spring St	open
Angry Burrito Company	Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	105 N Lehigh Ave	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1860 Elmira St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2303 Elmira St	open
Banana Curve Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	517 N Keystone Ave	open
Bapa South Keystone Ave, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 S Keystone Ave	open
Beeman's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1356 Elmira St	open
Bluestone Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		18 Pitney St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1557 Elmira St	open
Callear's Barbecue	Catering	BBQ · American	2081 Elmira St	open
Celebrations Black Diamond Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	100 S Elmer Ave	open
Chumpy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	245 Desmond St	open
Coffee Monster Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	703 N Wilbur Ave	open
Daily Grind	Café	Coffee	208 Desmond St	open
Donut Connection	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	401 S Keystone Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	949 North Elmira St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	101 S Keystone Ave	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop	Coffee	949 N Elmira St	open
Fast Lane Philly's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	129 S Keystone Ave	open
Grace Chinese Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1318 Elmira St	open
Greenhouse Market and Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	100 S Elmer Ave	open
Hotel Bradford Brew House and Beer Garden	Bar		108 N Thomas Ave	open
Java Junction	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1970 Elmira St	open
Johnny D's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	100 Henry St	open
Johnson’s Garage Bar	Bar		523 S Wilbur Ave	open
Kalash Kitchen Kalash Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · European	119 S Elmer Ave	open
Kelley's Pitstop	Bar · Casual dining		221 Desmond St	open
Keystone Kones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Keystone Ave	open
Keystone Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	142 S Keystone Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	462 N. Keystone Avenue	open
Kurt's Making Whoopie	Bakery	Bakery	122 S Hopkins St	open
Lehigh Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		109 N Lehigh Ave	open
Mangialardo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	115 S Thomas Ave	open
Mastracchio Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Pizza	502 S Lehigh Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	461 N Keystone Ave	open
Milltown Inn Inc	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		129 Cayuta St	open
Mountain G BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		131 S Thomas Ave	open
New Kam Bo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	202 Desmond St	open
Night Train Lounge	Bar		255 Spring St	open
Nocchis Hoagies	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	52 N Keystone Ave	open
Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	205 S Keystone Ave	open
Parrish Family Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	501 S Keystone Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	508 N Keystone Ave	open
Pudgie's Pizza, Pasta & Subs - Sayre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	141 S Keystone Ave	open
Reese's Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American	471 N Keystone Ave	open
Sam's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		912 N Wilbur Ave	open
Sayre Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1318 Elmira St	open
Skitser's Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	514 N Wilbur Ave	open
Stroehmann Bakeries L. C.	Bakery	Bakery	901 N Elmer Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1887 Elmira St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	477 N Keystone Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	78 White Wagon Rd	open
Terminal Hotel Of Sayre Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 S Thomas Ave	open
The Blackburn 1897	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	130 W Lockhart St	open
The Grille at the Train Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	718 N Lehigh Ave	open
The Honey Bean Bakery & Coffee Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	429 N Keystone Ave	open
TQ's Tavern & Dawghouse	Bar · Casual dining		116 S Hopkins St	open
Vanilla Bean Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	121 W Packer Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1887 Elmira St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1753 Elmira St	open
Wohltmann's Faith Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2081 Elmira St	open
Yanuzzi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	235 Desmond St	open
Park Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	123 S Keystone Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	28	21	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	28	21	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	26	19	8	9	2	7	NAICS1997
1999	27	20	9	10	1	7	NAICS1997
2000	26	17	8	9	—	8	NAICS1997
2001	23	15	7	8	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	25	17	7	10	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	28	21	7	13	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	26	20	7	13	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	27	21	8	12	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	31	25	9	13	2	5	NAICS2002
2007	31	25	10	12	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	29	23	11	9	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	13	10	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	31	27	11	10	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	34	29	12	11	3	5	NAICS2007
2012	35	30	11	10	6	5	NAICS2012
2013	34	28	11	9	5	6	NAICS2012
2014	36	30	11	10	6	6	NAICS2012
2015	36	31	11	13	4	5	NAICS2012
2016	37	29	11	12	3	8	NAICS2012
2017	38	31	11	10	7	7	NAICS2017
2018	37	29	12	11	3	8	NAICS2017
2019	37	29	11	14	3	7	NAICS2017
2020	34	27	11	12	3	5	NAICS2017
2021	36	29	13	12	3	5	NAICS2017
2022	34	27	11	12	3	4	NAICS2022
2023	35	28	10	15	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18840. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18810	3.3 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.