BMIE Market 18938

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,510 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$184,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	58.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$735,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18938
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+131.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	55 (range 50–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18938. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.0	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.7	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	62.9	63	25%	+15.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,649	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	184,833	98	40%	+39.4
Households (ACS)	6,242	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.4	66	35%	+23.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	37.4	15	25%	+3.7
Population (ACS)	13,649	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	184,833	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	24.4	66	30%	+19.9
20-year restaurant growth	37.8	57	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (125)

By cuisine

American 27 · Coffee 14 · Dessert 12 · Italian 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 70 · Bar 30 · Casual dining 19 · Dessert 17 · Café 12 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A &amp Z Miller Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		97 S Main St	open
Ace Cafe New Hope	Casual dining · Bar		15 Market Pl	open
Amelia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	49 W Ferry St	open
Amsterdam Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5667 York Rd	open
Angry Rooster Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Back To Square 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15 Market Pl	open
Bagel Bums at Rice’s Market	Quick service		6326 Greenhill Rd	open
Birds Nest Bar & Grille and Golf at the Nest	Casual dining · Bar		415 York Rd #6	open
Bitter Bob's BBQ + comfort food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	110 S Main St	open
Bonfire Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6426 Lower York Rd	open
Bowman's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		1600 River Rd	open
Bucks County Coffee Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6542 Logan Sq	open
Bumpa's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34 N Main St	open
Buttonwood Grill Buttonwood Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	5795 Lower York Rd	open
Café Blue Moose	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	9 W Mechanic St	open
Cakes Done Simple	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	137 S Main St	open
Carla's New Hope Pa	Casual dining · Bar	American · Pizza		open
Cellar Pub and Wine Bar New Hope	Bar		88 S Main St	open
Clusters Bucks County Caramel Corn	Quick service		87A S Main St	open
Country Fair Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	93 S Main St B	open
Crabby Jeans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Breakfast	Rice's Market, 6326 Greenhill Rd	open
Cumin Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 S Main St	open
Dharma Bums Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	4869 River Rd	open
Dilly's	Casual dining	Sandwiches · Burgers · American	7085 Upper York Rd	open
Dm2 Corp Dba-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 S Main St Ste D	open
Doubles	Bar		12 W Mechanic St	open
Duck Soup Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American · Breakfast	9 Village Row	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1 N. Main St	open
Earl's New American	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	2398 Street Rd	open
El Taco Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6 Stockton Ave	open
Factory Girl Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	45 N Main St	open
Ferry Market	Café	American · Coffee	32 S Main St	open
Fonda Lipa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	95 S Main St	open
Forge Roasted Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Fran's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		116 S Main St	open
Fred's Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	13 E Randolph St	open
Freshii	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	334 W Bridge St	open
Gelato Shop	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	87 S Main St	open
Giovanni’s Dillicious Pickles	Specialty food shop · Quick service	American · Sandwiches	127c S Main St	open
Giuseppe's Pizza and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	473 York Rd	open
Great Barn Taproom	Brewery / taproom		12 W Mechanic St	open
GreenHouse New Hope	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	90 S Main St	open
Havana New Hope	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		105 S Main St	open
Hewn Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		42 Peddlers Village	open
Italian Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	6 Stockton Ave	open
Jaffran Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · Asian · American	11B W Bridge St	open
Jamie Hollander Gourmet Foods	Other	Sandwiches	415 York Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	334 West Bridge Street	open
Karla's Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5 W Mechanic St	open
Lima Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	32 S Main St	open
Little Lynns' Artisan Bakeshop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	6326 Greenhill Rd	open
Little Radish	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	32 S Main St	open
Local Harvest Pizza	Food truck	Pizza		open
Logan Square Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6542 Lower York Rd	open
Los Catrines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	82 S Main St	open
MagiKava	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	87a S Main St	open
Main Street Wine Cellar	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		88 S Main St	open
Marhaba Hookah Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 S Main St	open
Market Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32 S Main St	open
Martine's RiverHouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	14 E Ferry St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	324 W Bridge St	open
Mechanic Street Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9 W Mechanic St	open
Mojito Cuba Caribe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	90 Main St.	open
Moo Hope Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	22 S Main St	open
Mother's Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	34 N Main St	open
Nektar Wine Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 W Mechanic St	open
Neshaminy Creek Brewing Co. - New Hope	Brewery / taproom		32 S Main St	open
New Hope Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	32 S Main St	open
New Hope Star Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	6522 York Rd	open
Nina's Main Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	87 S Main St	open
Nina's Waffles	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	18 Street Rd	open
Nina's Waffles Nina's Waffles	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	18 Street Rd	open
Nina's Waffles & Sweets Factory Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5 W Mechanic St Ste A	open
Nomad Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		20 S Main St	open
Nozomu Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	9 W Mechanic St	open
Oldestone Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15 S Main St	open
Pierre's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	360 W Bridge St	open
Playhouse Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		70 S Main St	open
Ramen Taco By Lima	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	32 S Main St	open
Rancho Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	95 S Main St	open
Reed's Breakfast Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 S Main St	open
Rita’s of Lahaska PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
River Cat Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	142 S Main St	open
Sciascia Confections	Dessert	Dessert	32 S Main St	open
SkyRoast Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	32 S Main St	open
Spatolas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	86 S Main St	open
Sprig & Vine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	450 Union Square Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4 E Bridge St	open
Stella of New Hope	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	50 S Main St	open
Taste Of The World	Bar	Spanish / tapas	560B Union Square Dr	open
Tastebuds	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	49 W Ferry St	open
The Big Cookie	Dessert	Dessert	32 S Main St	open
The Blue Tortilla	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	20 N Main St	open
The Burgerly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	137 S Main St	open
The Burrito Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	95 S Main St	open
The Cub Room	Bar		400 W Bridge St	open
The Dubliner On The Delaware. Kitchen Closes Sun & Mon @ 8pm Wed, Thurs 8:30pm & 9pm Fri & Sat	Bar	British / Irish pub food	34 N Main St	open
The Good Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	32 S Main St	open
The Goody Bag New Hope PA	Dessert		132 S Main St	open
The Inn At Phillips Mill Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2590 River Rd	open
The Landing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	22 N Main St	open
The Last Temptation	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	115 S Main St # A	open
The Lucky Cupcake	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	81 Peddlers Village	open
The Nut Kettle	Dessert		York Rd	open
The Old Stone Church Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 S Main St	open
The Pork Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	32 S Main St	open
The Raven	Bar		385 W Bridge St	open
The Salt House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	7 E Ferry St	open
The Sandbar	Bar		90 Main Street	open
The Speckled Egg Cafe	Café	Coffee	6326 Greenhill Rd	open
The Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Burgers · Sandwiches	Main Street	open
The Tavern at New Hope Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6123 Lower York Rd	open
The Wine Bar At Ferry Market	Bar		32 S Main St	open
Thomas Sweet Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	115 S Main St	open
Triumph Restaurant & Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Union Square Dr	open
Tuscany at The Towpath House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	18 W Mechanic St	open
V-Spot Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	18-20 N Main St	open
Villa Vito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · British / Irish pub food	26 W Bridge St Ste A	open
Washington Crossing Brewfests	Brewery / taproom		1638 River Rd	open
Wickey Wackey Wicker at Rice's market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6326 Greenhill Rd	open
Wild Ginger III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	24-25 Logan Square	open
Wildflowers Garden Restaurant-Thai Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	8 W Mechanic St	open
Zoubi Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7 W Mechanic St	open
Felina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9 S Main St	closed
Kindle Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	7 E Ferry St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	26	21	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	34	28	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	35	30	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	37	29	19	6	4	5	NAICS1997
1999	36	28	20	5	3	5	NAICS1997
2000	33	27	19	6	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	35	28	20	5	3	6	NAICS1997
2002	40	34	22	8	4	6	NAICS1997
2003	41	37	22	9	6	4	NAICS2002
2004	48	43	29	9	5	3	NAICS2002
2005	41	37	24	9	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	43	38	23	13	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	47	43	26	12	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	44	41	25	12	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	43	40	26	10	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	40	38	23	11	4	2	NAICS2007
2011	44	42	25	11	6	2	NAICS2007
2012	42	39	22	11	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	44	41	25	11	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	39	35	22	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	46	42	25	12	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	43	41	24	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	49	45	25	10	10	—	NAICS2017
2018	53	48	27	10	11	—	NAICS2017
2019	53	48	28	11	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	49	43	25	9	9	—	NAICS2017
2021	51	46	26	9	11	—	NAICS2017
2022	54	48	26	11	11	3	NAICS2022
2023	57	51	27	12	12	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18938. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18913	3.4 mi	2	2016
18933	4.2 mi	1	2016
18912	4.2 mi	4	2023
18946	4.5 mi	1	2016
08530	4.8 mi	26	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.