BMIE Market 18954

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±935 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,745 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,292 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$159,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$626,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,822 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18954
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 24–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18954. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.3	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.5	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	35.1	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,380	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	159,857	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	3,689	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.1	27	25%	+6.6
Population (ACS)	10,380	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	159,857	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Italian 10 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · European 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bakery 7 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
59 Almshouse	Casual dining · Bar	American	59 Almshouse Rd	open
Ardas Social Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	800 Bustleton Pike	open
Asian Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · Japanese	800 Bustleton Pike Ste A5	open
Bacco Centro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	890 2nd Street Pike	open
Be Well Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	882 2nd Street Pike	open
China Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1069 Second Street Pike	open
Confection Perfection	Bakery	Bakery	130 Almshouse Raod	open
D&M Philly Cheesesteak & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American · Pizza	130 Almshouse Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	922 2nd Street Pike	open
Desserts By Design	Bakery	Bakery	853 Bustleton Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	800 Bustleton Pike	open
Fresh Works	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Steakhouse · Sandwiches · American	Bustleton Pike	open
Gianni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	842 Bustleton Pike	open
Giuseppe's Pizza & Family Restaurant Giuseppe's Pizza & Italian Specialties	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	990 2nd Street Pike	open
Guiseppe's Of Richboro, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		990 2nd Street Pike	open
Il Gattopardo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1040 2nd Street Pike	open
Jake's Eatery	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	869 Bustleton Pike	open
Jim's Soft Pretzels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	741 2nd Street Pike	open
Manhattan Bagel Manhattan Bagel	Quick service		722 2nd Street Pike	open
Manhattan Bagel Manhattan Bagel	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	722 2nd Street Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	950 2nd Street Pike	open
Original Dominick's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1045 2nd Street Pike	open
Pallantes Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	130 Almshouse Rd	open
Philly Pretzel Factory Philly Pretzel Factory	Quick service · Bakery	Bakery	1029 2nd Street Pike #3	open
Quiznos	Quick service		1034 2nd Street Pike	open
RedBerry Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1040 Second Street Pike	open
Richboro Beer & Soda	Bar		1078 2nd Street Pike	open
Richboro COFFEE & Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	130 Almshouse Rd	open
Richboro Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1034 2nd Street Pike	open
Ristorante Aida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	130 Almshouse Rd	open
Ristorante Denicola	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	130 Almshouse Rd	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	722 Second Street Pike	open
Roccositaliansausages	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 Almshouse Rd	open
STARboro Cafe & Garden Market	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	30 Upper Holland Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	800 Second Street Pike	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	1040 2nd Street Pike Ste B	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	909 2nd Street Pike	open
Taormina's Richboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	130 Almshouse Rd	open
The Irish Horne	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	882 Second Street Pike	open
Travelin' Tom's Coffee of Richboro	Café	Coffee	34 Cameo Dr # A	open
Wawa	Other	Sandwiches	750 2nd Street Pk,	open
Wellness Kitchen	Catering	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	40 Silo Hill Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	17	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	21	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	22	20	11	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	22	11	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	22	10	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	24	23	11	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	30	30	14	12	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	27	12	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	27	25	12	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	30	28	11	12	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	26	12	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	25	11	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	26	12	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	10	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	25	12	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	30	13	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	31	17	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	26	14	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	14	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	14	9	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	13	8	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18954. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18966	2.7 mi	46	2023
18980	3.4 mi	1	2011
18940	3.8 mi	73	2023
18946	4.2 mi	1	2016
18974	4.3 mi	74	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.