BMIE Market 18960

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,473 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,028 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,765 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$408,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18960
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18960. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.0	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	40.3	40	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,597	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	109,028	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	5,336	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.6	74	25%	+18.5
Population (ACS)	13,597	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	109,028	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A and N Diner and Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	321 S Main St	open
Arielle's Country Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	740 Allentown Rd	open
Cafe at The Mill	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1 S Main St	open
Chiaro's Pizzeria & Restaurant Sellersville Chiaro's Pizza & Restaurant Sellersville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	218 S Main St	open
Dam Good Cafe 2 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 S Main St	open
Fasageo's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	724 Ridge Rd	open
J.T. Bankers	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	309 S Main St	open
Johnny Roc's Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 N Main St	open
Kool Licks	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	114 N Main St	open
Ml Golf, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Old Mill Rd	open
Nock's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	1613 Bethlehem Pike	open
Pizza Pub Pizza Pub-Wisconsin Dells	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	1115 Bethlehem Pike	open
Ray's Patio Bar & Fire Pit	Bar		135 Maple Ave	open
Roy Ann Diner	Casual dining	American	1318 Bethlehem Pike	open
Sellersville Inn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		136 N Main St	open
Sellersville Moose	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 W Park Ave	open
Stella's House Blend Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	200 N Main St	open
The Fizzy Fern	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	220 N Main St	open
The Horse Tavern & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1000 Old Bethlehem Pike	open
Thriving Hive Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	200 N Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	11	10	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	11	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	11	10	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	11	8	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	11	8	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	8	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	12	7	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	13	9	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	16	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	10	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	11	9	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	8	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	9	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	15	9	3	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	13	10	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	9	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	12	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	13	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18960. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18962	3.3 mi	1	2016
18969	3.6 mi	10	2023
18970	4.3 mi	3	2020
18964	4.4 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.