BMIE Market 19031

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±476 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,700 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,993 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±621 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$579,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19031
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19031. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.9	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.2	42	35%	+14.8
Market Momentum Score	27.4	27	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,929	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	134,592	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	2,044	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.4	22	25%	+5.5
Population (ACS)	4,929	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	134,592	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Pizza 5 · American 4 · Mexican 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bella Maria's Pizzeria (ghost Kitchen)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	808 Bethlehem Pike	open
Capt'n Chucky's Crab Cake Co, Flourtown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Cheese Trap	Café · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Coffee	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Dacornerdeli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1117 Bethlehem Pike	open
Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1851 Bethlehem Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1821 Bethlehem Pike	open
El Limon Flourtown El Limon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	810 Bethlehem Pike	open
Flourtown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1666 Bethlehem Pike	open
Georgina's Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Halligan's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1619 Bethlehem Pike	open
Haraz Coffee House Haraz Coffee House	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Middle Eastern	1459 Bethlehem Pike	open
Kai & Ko	Food truck	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Karla's Kitchen And Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	1666 Bethlehem Pike	open
L &amp D Asian Cuisine Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1664 Bethlehem Pike	open
Lydia's K-Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Manhattan Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	1820 Bethlehem Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1890 Bethlehem Pike	open
Mister P Pizza Mr. P's - Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1860 Bethlehem Pike	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1844 Bethlehem Pike	open
Palermos Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1448 Bethlehem Pike	open
Queen Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1444 Bethlehem Pike	open
Queen's Teapot	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	2007 Grace Ln	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1527 Bethlehem Pike	open
Rita’s of Flourtown PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert		open
Scoogis Italian Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	738 Bethlehem Pike	open
Smell The Curry	Quick service	Indian · American	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
Sorella Rose Bar & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1800 Bethlehem Pike	open
South Ocean Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	1664 Bethlehem Pike	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1874 Bethlehem Pike	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1851 Bethlehem Pike	open
Tamarindos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	726 Bethlehem Pike	open
Union Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1666 Bethlehem Pike	open
Wingstreet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1448 Bethlehem Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	3	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	4	3	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	11	3	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	12	5	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	5	4	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	7	5	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	4	5	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	15	4	5	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	4	4	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	15	4	5	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	15	4	5	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	16	5	5	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	6	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	15	5	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19031. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19075	1.5 mi	6	2023
19034	1.8 mi	16	2023
19118	2.4 mi	34	2023
19444	2.4 mi	20	2023
19038	2.5 mi	43	2023
19462	3.4 mi	30	2023
19150	3.5 mi	35	2023
19095	3.8 mi	19	2023
19025	3.9 mi	21	2023
19119	4.1 mi	25	2023
19128	4.1 mi	56	2023
19422	4.7 mi	40	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.