BMIE Market 19085

Delaware County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,230 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±686 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,932 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,028 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	20.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$1,056,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92,620 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19085
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19085. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.6	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.2	84	35%	+29.5
Market Momentum Score	63.5	64	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,230	73	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	1,723	59	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	77	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	11,230	73	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 5 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Avenue Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	789 E Lancaster Ave	open
Azie on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	789 E Lancaster Ave	open
Belle Air Terrace	Buffet		800 E Lancaster Ave	open
Campus Corner	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	829 E Lancaster Ave	open
Checkers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	829 Mount Moro Rd	open
Connelly Center Holy Grounds	Coffee shop	Coffee	800 E Lancaster Ave	open
First Watch First Watch	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	775 East Lancaster Ave.	open
Fleur De Lys Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1952 Montgomery Ave	open
Goodness Bowls Goodness Bowls	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	775 E Lancaster Ave #120	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	807 East Lancaster Ave	open
LaScala's Fire LaScala's Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	789 E Lancaster Ave	open
Main and Vine Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		789 E Lancaster Ave	open
Not Just Wings, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		819 E Lancaster Ave	open
Nova Mediterranean Grill Nova Grill - Pirituba	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean	815 E Lancaster Ave	open
Rosie's Coffee at Villanova Station	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	308 N Spring Mill Rd	open
Rosie's Mug	Café	Coffee	320 N Spring Mill Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	775 E Lancaster Ave	open
Sugar Treasures	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Wooded Ln	open
The Refectory	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	862 E Lancaster Ave	open
Villanova Cafe Nova	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	862 E Lancaster Ave	open
Win Signature Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		789 E Lancaster Ave	open
Winger's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	819 E Lancaster Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	—	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19085. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19010	1.4 mi	57	2023
19041	2.7 mi	4	2023
19087	3.2 mi	83	2023
19003	3.6 mi	56	2023
19428	3.9 mi	61	2023
19333	3.9 mi	7	2023
19035	3.9 mi	3	2020
19008	4.4 mi	39	2023
19405	4.4 mi	12	2023
19406	4.4 mi	116	2023
19083	4.6 mi	62	2023
19096	4.8 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.