BMIE Market 19365

Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,006 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,006 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,032 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,211 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$339,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19365
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+142.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19365. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.8	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.6	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	51.9	52	25%	+13.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,006	67	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	104,728	84	40%	+33.5
Households (ACS)	2,857	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.2	34	25%	+8.6
Population (ACS)	8,006	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	104,728	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	88.9	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · American 5 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
232 Bakers Basket	Bakery	Bakery	232 Octorara Rd	open
A. J. Christopher's Pizza Beer	Bar	Pizza · Italian	5626 W Lincoln Hwy	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	800 Commons Dr	open
Athena's Kafenio - Coffee & Ice Cream	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2975 E Lincoln Hwy	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	100 Commons Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	760 Commons Dr	open
Bell's Delites	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	111 S Church St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		100 Nova Way	open
Chick-fil-A Sadsbury Chick-fil-A SoCal	Quick service		100 Nova Way	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		770 Commons Dr.	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	3344 Lincoln Highway	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	404 Commons Way Unit B4	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	760 Commons Dr	open
Dyers Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5739 W Lincoln Hwy	open
El Limon El Limon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	402 W 1st Ave	open
Fast Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	102 W 1st Ave	open
Fill This Cup	Coffee shop	Coffee	306 W 1st Ave	open
Greenlini Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		302 Main St	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	770 Commons Dr.	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	306 Nova Wy	open
Lapp's Meats and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Commons Dr	open
Main St Café Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	321 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	900 Commons Drive	open
Nova's Pasta & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood · Italian	428 W 1st Ave	open
Owen's Place Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		4880 W Lincoln Hwy	open
Parkesburg Pizza & Beer	Bar	Pizza · Italian	302 Main St	open
Pasquale's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	428 W 1st Ave Ste D	open
Pizza Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	104 W 1st Ave	open
PJ's Smokehouse	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	430 Maple St	open
Poured Out Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	428 W 1st Ave	open
Raku Japanese Steakhouse & Hibachi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	348 Commons Dr	open
Rocco & Anna's Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	302 Main St	open
Signature Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	360 Commons Dr	open
Spring House Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		217 Main St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	151 Nova Way	open
Suburban Beer Garden	Bar · Brewery / taproom		3000 Lincoln Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	100 Commons Dr	open
Sweet Charlottes	Bakery	Bakery	408 W 1st Ave	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	830 Octorara Trail	open
Tex Mex food truck	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	306 W 1st Ave	open
The Pastry Garage	Bakery	Bakery	428 W 1st Ave	open
Victory Brewing Company Parkesburg Victory Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3127 Lower Valley Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	100 Commons Dr	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	700 Nova Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	700 Nova Wy	open
ZING sushi & pan asian cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2952 E Lincoln Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	9	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	6	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	16	5	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	4	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	5	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	4	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	17	5	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	17	4	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	17	3	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	5	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	19	4	9	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	17	4	8	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19365. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19369	1.9 mi	3	2023
19367	2.2 mi	1	2015
19310	3.3 mi	1	2016
19320	4.9 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.