BMIE Market 19425

Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,219 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±915 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,710 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,922 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$211,739 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±444 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$656,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,093 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19425
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+90.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+162.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19425. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.5	86	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.6	75	35%	+26.1
Market Momentum Score	75.4	75	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,219	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	211,739	99	40%	+39.7
Households (ACS)	5,710	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	64	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	17,219	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	211,739	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.5	80	50%	+39.8
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	90.9	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
America Bar & Grill	Bar		499 Uwchlan Ave	open
Anabbolic Sweets Co	Bakery	Bakery	2542 Rainer Rd	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	904 Kimberton Rd	open
Bloom Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	123 Pottstown Pike	open
Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	55 Pottstown Pike # 500	open
Buttercream bliss by Bina	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2606 Rockledge Ct	open
Cap'n Chucky's Crab Cake Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	132 Pottstown Pike	open
Carmine's Parkside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	180 Little Conestoga Rd	open
Chester Springs Cars & Coffee at Just Joe's	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1001 Kimberton Rd	open
Chester Springs Creamery Newport Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	521 Uwchlan Ave	open
Clubhouse Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		12 Pottstown Pike Ste 1B	open
Doachie McHugh's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		The Suburbs	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	157 Pottstown Pike	open
Epicurean Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		570 Simpson Dr	open
Flour & Oats Artisan Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Directly off, 1600 Yellow Springs Rd, PA-113 Suite 204	open
Happy House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	158 Little Conestoga Rd	open
House of India PA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	570 Simpson Dr	open
Jj Elephant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		921 Kimberton Rd	open
Juniper Tree Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	221 Pottstown Pike	open
Lemon Tree Guo Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 Simpson Dr	open
Liberty Union Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		325 Simpson Dr	open
Life’s Patina Co. Mercantile and Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1657 Art School Rd	open
Limoncello Chester Springs Limoncello West Chester	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	499 Uwchlan Ave	open
Machine Shop Brewing Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 Pottstown Pike	open
Manhattan Bagel Manhattan Bagel	Quick service		487 East Uwchlan Ave	open
Manhattan Bagel Manhattan Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	487 E Uwchlan Ave	open
Montesano Bros Restaurant & Catering	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	55 Seaboldt Way	open
Murasaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Asian	475 E Uwchlan Ave	open
Park Road Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	221 Pottstown Pike	open
Pizzeria Visco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	530 Simpson Dr	open
PrimoHoagies PrimoHoagies	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	155 Pottstown Pike	open
Revival Pizza Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	240 Windgate Dr Ste a7	open
Scooped Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	130 Pottstown Pike	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	300 Simpson Dr	open
Stickman Brews	Brewery / taproom		861 Kimberton Rd	open
Super Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	467 E Uwchlan Ave	open
The Stables Kitchen and Beer Garden	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		160 Park Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Quick service		250 Pottstown Pike	open
Vinny's At Chester Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	861 Kimberton Rd	open
VIP Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	471 E Uwchlan Ave	open
Woodmont Enterprises, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		155 Pottstown Pike	open
Yellow Springs Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1657 Art School Rd	open
Eagle Tavern & Taproom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	123 Pottstown Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	7	2	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	4	2	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	5	1	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	5	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	5	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	16	6	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	8	8	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19425. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19442	3.9 mi	3	2016
19341	4.5 mi	79	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.