BMIE Market 19440

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±400 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,038 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,267 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,911 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$438,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,056 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19440
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+56.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+212.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 21–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19440. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.7	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.4	77	35%	+27.1
Market Momentum Score	80.7	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,431	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	99,408	81	40%	+32.2
Households (ACS)	7,633	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	56.3	85	35%	+29.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.9	61	25%	+15.2
Population (ACS)	19,431	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	99,408	81	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.9	87	50%	+43.6
10-year restaurant growth	56.3	85	30%	+25.6
20-year restaurant growth	38.9	58	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

American 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
309 Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1618 Bethlehem Pike	open
BDM Good Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	47 Market St	open
Be Still Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	317 S Main St	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	190 Forty Foot Rd #102	open
Century House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2790 Route 309	open
Chinatown Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1540 Cowpath Rd	open
D&D Delicious Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	German / Eastern European · Sandwiches	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1691 Bethlehem Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	500 Forty Foot Rd	open
Five Star Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	42 E Lincoln Ave	open
Formosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Freedom #7 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 S Main St # 2505	open
Hanane’s Signature Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	1250 Bethlehem Pike # G	open
Hatfield Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	129 S Main St	open
Hilltown Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1903 Bethlehem Pike	open
Imprint Beer Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1500 Industry Rd Ste O	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	500 Forty Foot Rd	open
KUNGFU SUSHI All You Can Eat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Leave Me Alone	Bar			open
Little Pepi's Pizzelles	Bakery	Bakery	2866 Sandstone Dr	open
Luly's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1250 Bethlehem Pike Unit K Frente A Walmart 309. Across Walmart, PA-309	open
Main Hotel	Bar · Casual dining		408 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1511 Bethlehem Pike	open
Meat Wagon BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1697 Bethlehem Pike	open
Mom's Real Italian	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	317 S Main St	open
Mrs. Benner's Slap Jack Candy	Dessert		933 Forty Foot Rd	open
Opa Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	2501 Bethlehem Pike	open
Paros Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2501 Bethlehem Pike	open
Pham Dang Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Philly Espresso - Etc.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1425 Downing Dr	open
Philly Pretzel Factory Philly Pretzel Factory	Bakery	Bakery	1515 Bethlehem Pike	open
Philomena Santucci's Square Pizza Philomena Santucci's Square Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Market St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1507 Bethlehem Pike	open
Poppy's Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	64 E Lincoln Ave	open
Rock N Rebel Saloon	Bar		1903 Bethlehem Pike	open
Rosenberger's Dairy Wagon	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2323 Koffel Rd	open
Saigon 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
San Antonio Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Sarah's Kitchen Tales	Bakery	Bakery	2701 Elroy Rd	open
Spirochete Brewing Inc.	Bar		2880 Bergey Rd	open
Steak And Hoagie Factory	Other	Sandwiches	2501 Bethlehem Pike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1515 Bethlehem Pike	open
Tellez Marella Diner	Casual dining	American	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
The East End	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1903 Bethlehem Pike	open
The Old Hose and Flame Saloon	Casual dining · Bar			open
The Station at Market	Coffee shop	Coffee	11 Market St	open
Trolley Stop Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	76 E Broad St	open
Venezia's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1573 Bethlehem Pike	open
Via Marconi's Pizza Pub	Casual dining · Bar		190 Forty Foot Rd	open
Vinny's Pizzarama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1431 Cowpath Rd	open
Vinny's Pizzarama 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1250 Bethlehem Pike	open
Weimar Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		64 E Lincoln Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1260 Bethlehem Pike	open
YoFresh Yogurt Cafe	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	190 Forty Foot Rd	open
Casey's Saloon and Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	210 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	17	5	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	6	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	20	5	11	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	27	24	5	15	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	4	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	17	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	19	15	5	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	7	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	19	9	10	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	16	6	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	20	16	4	12	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	24	20	6	13	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	26	21	6	12	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	26	21	7	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	24	19	8	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	23	18	7	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	24	20	8	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	22	17	6	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	7	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	11	12	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	28	25	10	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19440. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18915	2.0 mi	5	2023
18932	2.2 mi	1	2016
18964	2.8 mi	36	2023
18927	3.8 mi	3	2022
19446	3.8 mi	84	2023
18914	4.2 mi	28	2023
18962	4.2 mi	1	2016
19454	4.8 mi	67	2023
18969	5.0 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.