BMIE Market 19520

Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,277 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±246 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,465 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,299 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$100,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,079 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$417,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,021 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19520
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+180.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19520. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.9	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.2	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	49.5	50	25%	+12.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,277	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	100,088	81	40%	+32.4
Households (ACS)	2,498	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.3	32	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	6,277	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	100,088	81	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	180	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AJ's Family Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	204 Crossings Blvd	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	Pennsylvania Turnpike	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	700 Crossings Blvd	open
Aunt Lena's Candy Store	Dessert		242 Crossings Blvd	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	100 Crossings Blvd	open
Billy Burger and Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	650 Crossings Blvd	open
Brandywine Branch Bistro	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	350 Warwick Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	909 Heritage Drive	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	800 Crossings Blvd	open
Elverson Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10 E Main St	open
Franklin Trading Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 W Main St	open
French Creek Ridge Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		200 Grove Rd	open
Giovanni's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	18 W Main St	open
Good Friend Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	206 Crossings Blvd	open
Leone's Elverson, PA BYOB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4225 Main St	open
Love Handles Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	501 Chestnut Tree Rd	open
Morgantown Coffee House	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	4997 N Twin Valley Rd	open
Paola Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2658 Ridge Rd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	850 Crossings Boulevard	open
Roy Rogers Roy Rogers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	22/23 Pennsylvania Tpke MM349 W Bound Exit	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	850 Crossings Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	911 Heritage Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	214 Crossings Blvd	open
Subzero	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches	2636 Ridge Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	905 Heritage Drive	open
Taco Fest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	650 Crossings Blvd	open
The Snug	Bar		3361 St Peters Rd	open
Twin Valley Coffee: Main Street	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4043 Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	950 Crossing Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	—	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	—	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	1	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	1	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	1	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	1	5	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	1	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	—	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	—	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	—	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	3	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	3	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	—	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	14	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19520. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19523	4.0 mi	—
19343	4.6 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.