BMIE Market 19533

Berks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±783 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,686 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,483 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,906 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$313,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19533
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	8 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19533. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.5	75	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.3	53	35%	+18.7
Market Momentum Score	7.8	8	25%	+2.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,648	69	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	105,179	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	3,033	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.9	85	25%	+21.1
Population (ACS)	8,648	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	105,179	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andali's Family Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	40 S Centre Ave	open
Bobby Flay BBQ LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3196 Bernville Rd	open
DDD	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		Railroad Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	5546 Pottsville Pike	open
Grube's	Dessert · Specialty food shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts	312 Gernants Church Rd	open
Grumpy Grouper	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	5764 Pottsville Pike	open
Happy Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2727 Bernville Rd	open
Hoss's Steak & Sea House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	121 Centre Ave	open
Leesport Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5407 Pottsville Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5500 Pottsville Pike	open
Old Glory Coffee & Bagel Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Leesport Farmers Market, 312 Gernants Church Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	64 Cherry St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5479 Pottsville Pike	open
The Hitching Post Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2746 Bernville Rd	open
The Post	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2746 Bernville Rd	open
The Yeagle Casa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	274 Ziegler Rd	open
Tj Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5407 Pottsville Pike	open
Tlc's Half Baked Goods, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	312 Gernants Church Rd	open
Vida Cafe Brunch & Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Mexican · Breakfast · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	351 N Centre Ave	open
Village Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		63 N Centre Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	5	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	12	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	4	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	12	4	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	6	3	—	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19533. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19605	3.1 mi	52	2023
19541	3.9 mi	1	2008
19516	4.3 mi	3	2018

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.