BMIE Market 19809

New Castle County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±495 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,049 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,656 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$314,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,518 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19809
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+6.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19809. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.4	71	40%	+28.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.1	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	52.3	52	25%	+13.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,311	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	81,288	64	40%	+25.6
Households (ACS)	6,121	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	68	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	14,311	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	81,288	64	20%	+12.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 7 · Italian 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 5 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar XIII Delaware	Food truck · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1706 Philadelphia Pike	open
Bellefonte Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	804 Brandywine Blvd	open
Bellevue Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	703 Philadelphia Pike	open
Burrito’s sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	514 Philadelphia Pike	open
Cabrini Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Silverside Rd	open
Cajun Kate's Philly Pike	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	722 Philadelphia Pike	open
Cinnamon Bun Exchange	Bakery	Bakery	408 Philadelphia Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	701 Philadelphia Pike	open
El Tapatio El Tapatio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1700 Philadelphia Pike	open
Heywood Kitchen	Other	Sandwiches	1605 Philadelphia Pike	open
Holmes Hoagies	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	405 A Philadelphia Pike	open
Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	700 Philadelphia Pike	open
Jae Seafood by Shawn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	403 Philadelphia Pike	open
King Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	729 Philadelphia Pike	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1504 Philadelphia Pike	open
Mazzella's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	729 Philadelphia Pike	open
Mr. Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1607 Philadelphia Pike	open
Murph's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	401 Philadelphia Pike	open
Neue Bayern Brauerei	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1502 Philadelphia Pike	open
Pat's Pizza and Bistro Philadelphia Pike Pats Pizza & Bistro Levittown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1815 Philadelphia Pike	open
Pizza Subline	Restaurant (service type not stated)		722 Philadelphia Pike	open
R. W. Greer	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	203 Philadelphia Pike	open
Rita’s of Philadelphia Pike DE Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	722 Philadelphia Pike	open
Seasons Pizza Seasons Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1524 Philadelphia Pike	open
Smith's Christmas Lights at Top of the Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1900 Prior Rd	open
Tex Mex Burrito Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	514 Philadelphia Pike	open
Tryvona's Does it all	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1800 Philadelphia Pike Apt 3	open
Tutto Fresco Italian Eatery by Scotto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	514 Philadelphia Pike	open
Uncle Johns BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	501 Silverside Road	open
Unique Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	1401 Philadelphia Pike	open
Wilmington Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	407 Marsh Rd	open
Zaikka On Wheels - Top Of The Hill	Food truck		Cloister Rd	open
Bella Italy Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Italian · Latin American (other)	4817 Governor Printz Blvd	closed
Ughh Pub Llc	Bar		401 Philadelphia Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	10	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	17	10	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	17	11	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	14	8	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	30	19	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	16	8	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	18	11	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	31	18	9	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	30	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	16	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	15	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	16	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19809. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19802	1.4 mi	22	2023
19801	3.1 mi	84	2023
19806	3.3 mi	33	2023
19803	3.7 mi	80	2023
19703	4.0 mi	20	2023
19810	4.3 mi	50	2023
08069	4.6 mi	9	2023
08023	4.7 mi	1	2009
08067	4.9 mi	1	2007
19732	4.9 mi	—
19805	5.0 mi	64	2023
19710	5.0 mi	1	2013

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.