BMIE Market 19933

Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,047 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,535 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,441 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$269,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,054 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19933
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19933. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.2	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.0	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	87.9	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,597	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	60,703	31	40%	+12.3
Households (ACS)	4,047	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.3	67	25%	+16.8
Population (ACS)	10,597	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	60,703	31	20%	+6.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	71.4	94	50%	+46.8
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 9 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arianna's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		11583 Madelyn Ave	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9577 Bridgeville Center Rd #3	open
Don Chuy Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	18541 S Main St	open
Harmony Hill Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9843 Seashore Hwy	open
Heritage Shores Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1 Heritage Farm Rd	open
Jeff's Taproom & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	416 Market St	open
Jireh's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	113 Market St	open
Kiwanis Bar-B-Que Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4560 Seashore Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	18733 Sussex Hwy	open
Passwater's Restaurant & 1730 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1 Heritage Shores Cir	open
Pinchers Seafood LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	9097 Cannon Rd	open
Pizza King Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	9537 Bridgeville Center Rd	open
Snappy's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7511 Federalsburg Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18757 U.S. Highway 13	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9577 Bridgeville Park Ctr	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Sugar Beet Market	Casual dining · Bar	American	201 Waterside Dr	open
T.s. Smith Orchard Point Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	16359 Sussex Hwy	open
The Frozen Farmer	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	9843 Seashore Hwy	open
The Sugar Shack	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6625 Seashore Hwy	open
The Wild Fizz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16356 Sussex Hwy	open
ThistleStop cottage bakery	Bakery	Bakery	411 Delaware Ave	open
Tony's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	613 S Main St	open
Vanderwende Farm Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4003 Seashore Hwy	open
Victorias ice cream y antojitos elados en cono	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	119 Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19933. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.