BMIE Market 19934

Kent County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,516 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,186 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±470 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,805 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,087 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$336,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,948 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	46.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19934
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+350.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19934. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.3	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.2	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	89.3	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,061	76	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	87,125	70	40%	+28.1
Households (ACS)	5,186	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	14,061	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	87,125	70	20%	+14.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	350	97	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos Mexicanos La Poblanita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2114 S Dupont Hwy	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4110 S. Dupont Hwy.	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	263 Wal-Mart Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	4080 Dupont Hwy	open
Bee Bowl'd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	301 E Camden Wyoming Ave	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4574 S Dupont Hwy	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	263 Walmart Dr	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	263 Walmart Drive	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4590 South Dupont Hwy	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4044 S Dupont Hwy	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	121 Rd 4	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	30 East St.	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3014 S Dupont Hwy	open
Delaware Provisions Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 Brenda Ln # A	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	374 Walmart Drive Unit 5	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		3014 S Dupont Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		263 Walmart Drive	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	270 S. Dupont Highway	open
Grotto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	110 East St	open
Hall's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 N Railroad Ave	open
Jade Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	386 Walmart Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	32 East St	open
La Ortolana Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	233 Old Camden Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	60 East St	open
McDonald's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee	263 Walmart Drive	open
Oishii Sushi&Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	386 Walmart Dr #1	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4000 S Dupont Hwy	open
R Difava Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4044 S DuPont Hwy	open
Sal's Pizza & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	101 South St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	344 Walmart Dr	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · American	4568 S Dupont Hwy	open
Thyme To Eat Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		22 Sarah Cir	open
Tre Sorelle Dolce	Café · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	27 S Railroad Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	370 Walmart Dr	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	263 Walmart Dr	open
Wyoming Tavern aka Brown's	Bar		5 N Railroad Ave	open
U Oughtta Be On Chocolates,llc	Dessert	Dessert	386 Walmart Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	4	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	6	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	5	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19934. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19980	3.2 mi	2	2012
19979	3.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.