BMIE Market 19944

Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	620 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,703 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$121,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,988 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	69.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,189,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±98,546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19944
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	290.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+41.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+84.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19944. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.8	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.5	50	35%	+17.7
Market Momentum Score	77.6	78	25%	+19.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	636	25	40%	+9.9
Median household income (ACS)	121,250	91	40%	+36.3
Households (ACS)	297	28	20%	+5.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	41.2	78	35%	+27.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	377.4	1	25%	+0.2
Population (ACS)	636	25	20%	+5.0
Median household income (ACS)	121,250	91	20%	+18.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	41.2	78	30%	+23.3
20-year restaurant growth	84.6	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 13 · Seafood 10 · Dessert 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bahama's Crabshack Carryout & Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	37085 Coastal Hwy	open
Beach Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	38805 Bunting Ave	open
Big Eye Jacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	700 Coastal Hwy	open
Bjuiced - Fenwick Island	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	300 Coastal Hwy	open
Candy Kitchen Candy Kitchen Shoppes	Dessert	Dessert	37075 Coastal Hwy	open
Catch 54	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	54 Madison Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1055 Coastal Hwy	open
Dirty Harry's	Bakery	Bakery	100 Coastal Hwy	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	40055 Lighthouse Rd	open
Fenwick Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	100 Coastal Hwy	open
Fenwick Island Social	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	100 Coastal Hwy	open
Fenwick Pub	Bar · Casual dining		305 Coastal Hwy	open
Fisher's Popcorn Fisher's Popcorn	Dessert	Dessert	37081 Coastal Hwy	open
Go Melvo Sno-Balls	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	38961 Bunting Ave	open
Grab & Go Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	37081 Coastal Hwy	open
Harpoon Hanna's	Bar	Seafood · American	39064 Harpoon Rd	open
Hershey Island Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	37078 Coastal Hwy	open
High Stakes Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		38893 Beacon Dr	open
High Tide Coffee and Bowls	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1204 Coastal Hwy	open
House Of Sauce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	300 Coastal Hwy	open
Jimmy's Kitchen	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1300 Coastal Hwy #6	open
JR's Seafood Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1500 Coastal Hwy #1	open
Just Hooked	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1500 Coastal Hwy Unit 1	open
Jwm Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1406 Coastal Hwy	open
Kohr Bros Kohr's Bros.	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	37077 Coastal Hwy	open
Lil Fins Island Candy Shoppe	Dessert		300 Coastal Hwy	open
Mancini's Brick Oven Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	907 Coastal Hwy	open
Matt's Fish Camp Fenwick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	700 Coastal Hwy	open
Nantuckets Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	601 Coastal Hwy	open
Ocean Side Fenwick	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	205 Coastal Hwy	open
One Coastal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	101 Coastal Hwy	open
Our Harvest	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1106 Coastal Hwy	open
Rusty Jimmies	Catering	BBQ · American	300 Coastal Hwy	open
Surf's Edge Deli and Pizzeria	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	100 Coastal Hwy #4	open
The Back Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Breakfast	300 Coastal Hwy	open
The Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	1406 Coastal Hwy	open
Twilley's Willys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	300 Coastal Hwy	open
Twinings Restaurant Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 Coastal Hwy	open
Vanderwendes at Fenwick	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	300 Coastal Hwy	open
Yuzu Sushi Yuzu sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	300 Coastal Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	16	12	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	10	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	11	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	11	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	12	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	16	13	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	11	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	9	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	11	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	11	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	18	12	2	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	20	12	3	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	11	3	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	19	17	11	3	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	13	3	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	23	21	13	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	11	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	13	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	20	12	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	12	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	22	13	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	24	15	4	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	24	15	4	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19944. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.