BMIE Market 19956

Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,332 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±587 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,500 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,419 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,603 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,700 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$259,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	100.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19956
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19956. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.6	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.2	48	35%	+16.9
Market Momentum Score	28.9	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,327	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	65,603	40	40%	+15.9
Households (ACS)	6,332	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-17.7	15	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.5
Population (ACS)	16,327	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	65,603	40	20%	+8.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	-17.7	15	30%	+4.4
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbott's on Broad Creek	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	111 Delaware Ave	open
Admiral's Quarters Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Auntie Anne's Pretzels	Other · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	10912 County Seat Hwy	open
Bargain Bills Marketplace Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10912 County Seat Hwy	open
Bayside Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	28537 Sussex Hwy	open
Bethel Crossroads Produce Stand	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	30214 Sussex Hwy	open
Bubble tea Delicias “El peque”	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10912 County Seat Hwy	open
Casa Di Pizza Casa da Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Cusha Snow Cones	Dessert		10912 County Seat Hwy	open
CWC Concession Stand	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	14545 Sycamore Rd	open
Dickerson Potato House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	30182 Sussex Hwy Unit 3	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	205 N Dual Hwy	open
Dutch Country Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	11233 Trussum Pond Rd #1	open
El Rinconcito Latino Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Route 13A	open
Five Points Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	30425 Seaford Rd	open
Gospel Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	33079 Bi State Blvd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	30759 Sussex Hwy	open
Herscher & Sons Microbrews	Brewery / taproom · Bar		212 W 7th St	open
Las Botanas Locas LLC	Dessert	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Ice cream / frozen desserts	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Laurel Dutch Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1012 S Central Ave	open
Laurel Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	417 N Central Ave	open
Laurel Star Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1012 S Central Ave	open
Little Creek Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	611 W 7th St	open
One Love Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	Route 13 Outlet Market, 11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Panda And Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	30214 Sussex Hwy #6	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 West St	open
Pizza King Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	307 N Central Ave	open
Potomac Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10912 County Seat Hwy	open
RNR Grill N Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		30739 Sussex Hwy	open
Schwan's Home Services	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30083 Discount Land Rd	open
Smash N' Dash Burgery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	30428 Sussex Hwy	open
Southfork Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	32890 Horsey Church	open
Stinky Lulu Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1012 S Central Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	30182 Sussex Hwy Unit 2	open
Sweet Brew	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	202 N Central Ave	open
Tacos Chabelita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	30661 Sussex Hwy	open
Taqueria La Placita De Don Polo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
The Pizza Cafe	Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	11290 Trussum Pond Rd	open
Third Step Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Delaware Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	8	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19956. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19931	4.2 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.