BMIE Market 19973

Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,834 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,266 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,838 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,902 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,135 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$278,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,443 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	84.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19973
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 38–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19973. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.0	67	40%	+26.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.9	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	64.2	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,834	87	40%	+34.6
Median household income (ACS)	64,387	38	40%	+15.1
Households (ACS)	10,266	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10.8	55	35%	+19.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.3	52	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	26,834	87	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,387	38	20%	+7.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20.6	78	50%	+39.0
10-year restaurant growth	10.8	55	30%	+16.4
20-year restaurant growth	17.1	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

American 23 · Pizza 10 · Mexican 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Latin American (other) 6 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Asian 2 · European 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 21 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alaskawild Seafoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8589 Cannon Rd	open
Alfredo's Pizza Gallery — Family Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	22990 Sussex Hwy	open
American Legion American Legion	Bar		230 N Front St	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	22873 Sussex Highway	open
Applebee's Applebee's Brasil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	111 Tull Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service		24043 Sussex Hwy	open
Bear Cult Brewing	Brewery / taproom		106 Spring St	open
Bon Appetit Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	312 High St	open
Brimming Horn Meadery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		106 Spring St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	24456 Sussex Hwy	open
C and C's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	304 High St B	open
Cafe Milano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · European	800 S Market St	open
Chick-fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	22932SUSSEXHWY Seaford Ter	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	22932 Sussex Hwy	open
Cinnamon’s CC 22	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	606 Bridgeville Hwy	open
Ckkc Enterprises Llc Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1250 Norman Eskridge Hwy	open
Cut'n Up Family Salon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22585 Bridgeville Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	9072 Middleford Rd	open
Davellis Bagel Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee · Breakfast	201 W Stein Hwy	open
Dick's Auto Body Repair	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26822 Sussex Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	234737 Sussex Hwy	open
Doña Maria's Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	117 High St	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1701 Middleford Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	500 Bridgeville Hwy	open
El Torito De San Marcos El Torito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	505 Bridgeville Hwy	open
Every Fiber Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		306 High St	open
Golden Eagle Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	23412 Sussex Hwy	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1017 W Stein Hwy	open
Grotto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22925 Sussex Hwy	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	328 W Stein Hwy	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		853 Norman Eskridge Hwy	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1252 Norman Eskridge Hwy.	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	22812 Sussex Hwy	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	22822 Sussex Highway Suite 18	open
Jumbo China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	22976 Sussex Hwy	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	23458 Sussex Highway	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	323 W Stein Hwy	open
La Casita \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1005 Norman Eskridge Hwy	open
La Flor De Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	851 Norman Eskridge Hwy	open
Lakeischa Ricketts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		304 High St Ste B	open
Las Americas Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	507 Bridgeville Hwy	open
Laurel Pizzeria Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	415 W Stein Hwy	open
Lickety Splitz Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	22992 Sussex Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22802 Sussex Hwy	open
Macklin Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		306 High St	open
Maria's Bella Cucina Italian Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	22953 Sussex Hwy	open
Martha's Sweets and Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	304 High St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	300 N Dual Hwy	open
Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American		open
Micas Bakery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		810 Norman Eskridge Hwy	open
Middleford Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10056 Middleford Rd	open
Nehema Legout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	24729 Rosalyn Dr	open
Nothing Better LLC	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	14882 Hardscrabble Rd	open
P&n Seaford Mart Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 W Stein Hwy	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	22933 Sussex Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	23481 Sussex Hwy	open
Pizza King Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	300 W Stein Hwy	open
Plaza Tapatia Plaza Tapatia - Salisbury South	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	22928 Sussex Hwy	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9085 Middleford Rd	open
Rita’s of Seaford DE Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
RiverRise Restaurant, Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16N Market St	open
Royal Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	22945 Sussex Hwy	open
Sabor Con Amor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	328 High St	open
Sal's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1018 W Stein Hwy	open
Seaford Museum	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 New St	open
Seaford Ventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22850 Sussex Hwy	open
seaford VFW	Bar		9767 Middleford Rd	open
Shogun Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	22891 Sussex Hwy	open
Smith's Cafe	Casual dining	American	22939 Sussex Hwy	open
Southern Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	23466 Sussex Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	23481 Sussex Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	22800 Sussex Hwy	open
Stargate Diner	Casual dining	American	23415 Sussex Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	751 North Dual Highway	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	301 W Stein Hwy	open
Sweet Serenity Chocolates & Gifts	Dessert	Dessert	22606 Sussex Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	23475 Sussex Hwy.	open
Taqueria Los girasoles	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 S Market St	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · American	22850 Sussex Hwy	open
The Atomic	Casual dining · Bar	American	306 High St	open
The Benjamin	Bar		22844 Sussex Hwy	open
The Woodshed Bar	Bar		22588 Bridgeville Hwy	open
Tienda El Chicanito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	100 S Market St	open
Vida Feliz Cafe - Seaford	Coffee shop · Dessert	Coffee · Dessert	106 North Cannon St	open
Walmart Bakery	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	22899 Sussex Hwy	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	664 N Dual Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	32	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	30	29	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	36	32	17	13	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	34	30	15	13	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	32	27	12	12	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	34	31	14	14	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	37	35	19	14	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	37	35	18	14	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	37	35	20	12	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	34	32	16	13	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	34	32	16	13	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	41	38	16	15	7	1	NAICS2002
2008	40	37	16	16	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	40	36	14	17	5	2	NAICS2007
2010	40	37	14	18	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	39	36	13	18	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	44	40	15	22	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	42	37	15	19	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	40	35	14	17	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	38	33	13	16	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	40	33	12	17	4	4	NAICS2012
2017	41	35	13	19	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	40	34	13	18	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	45	38	14	20	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	46	39	15	20	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	46	39	16	19	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	45	39	17	19	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	47	41	16	21	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19973. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19931	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.