BMIE Market 20019

District of Columbia, District of Columbia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	63,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	26,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±989 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	54,358 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	25,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$456,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20019
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+39.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 31–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20019. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. District of Columbia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 30, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.1	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.7	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	82.6	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	63,380	99	40%	+39.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,296	27	40%	+10.7
Households (ACS)	26,254	99	20%	+19.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	92	25%	+22.9
Population (ACS)	63,380	99	20%	+19.8
Median household income (ACS)	58,296	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	39.1	87	50%	+43.6
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 11 · Chinese 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 14 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
24 ChicKen DC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3710 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Addie Loves Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	410 61st St NE	open
America's Best Wings America's Best Wings	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4524 Benning Rd SE	open
American Best Chicken & Waffle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	380 Eastern Ave NE	open
Bally's Carry Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · American	5577 Central Ave SE	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4445 Benning Rd NE	open
Bird's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5013 H St SE	open
Capital Szechuan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5305 East Capitol St SE	open
Catherine's Kitchen at Riverside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	601 Division Ave NE	open
Central Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	1329 Kenilworth Ave NE	open
Chateau Lounge	Bar		3439 Benning Rd NE	open
Cheung & Lam Inc T A Yums	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4512 Benning Rd SE	open
China Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	600 Division Ave NE	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3780 Minnesota Avenue N.E.	open
Danny's Sub Shop & Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3710 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Dc Eagle	Bar		3701 Benning Rd NE	open
Deanwood Café	Café	Coffee	4058 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Deanwood Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4505 Sheriff Rd NE	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4445 Benning Rd NE	open
Dunkin' Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4020 Minnesota Ave NE	open
East Capital Carryout	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	5315 E Capitol St SE	open
East River Bagel Inc. Dba Eclectic Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4058 Minnesota Ave Ne Ste C	open
Fly Pizza Truck DC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Pizza	Fly Pizza Truck	open
GIGIS COFFEE ROASTERS	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4916 Central Ave NE	open
Hunter H.O.P.E. Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4645 Nannie Helen Burroughs Ave NE	open
Jin Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3943 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Just Crab "B" Crabs	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		107 58th St NE	open
Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4510 East Capitol St NE	open
Macuma	Bar		2815 N St SE	open
Mary's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1509 Kenilworth Avenue Northeast	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3901 Minnesota Ave Ne	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4301 Nannie Helen Burroughs Ave Ne Unit	open
Misky Wasy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	4719 B St SE	open
Moon Star Carry-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5008 Benning Rd SE	open
Moruss Seafood and Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	2902 Minnesota Ave SE	open
Norma's Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3710 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Olivia Macaron	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3270 M St SE	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	4020 Minnesota Ave NE Ste 114	open
Pimento Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	4405 Bowen Rd SE	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4020 Minnesota Avenue	open
Qmi Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4049 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Ray's The Steaks At East River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3905 Dix St NE	open
Rico Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1235 Kenilworth Ave NE Ste 2	open
Sala Thai Minnesota Ave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4020 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Sharks Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4049 Minnesota Ave NE	open
SHARKS Of DC	Casual dining · Quick service	American · Chicken / wings	4049 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Shi-Queeta-Lee Drag Brunches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast		open
Shrimpboat plaza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4510 East Capitol St NE	open
St Luke's Center	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4923 East Capitol St SE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3950 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4800 Nannie Helen Burroughs Ave NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4518 Benning Rd SE	open
The DC Chi Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5011 Ivory Walters Lane SE	open
VFW	Bar		1601 Kenilworth Ave NE	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4250 Nannie Helen Burroughs Ave	open
Yellow House Reloaded	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4011 Minnesota Ave NE	open
Young Concert Artist	Bar		250 57th Pl NE	open
Yum's Carry Out	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Chinese	3943 Minnesota Ave NE	open
C.c Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	607 Division Ave NE	closed
Penny Brew	Coffee shop	Coffee	5200 Foote St NE	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	18	5	12	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	18	5	8	5	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	17	3	10	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	4	13	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	18	1	16	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	1	17	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	22	1	20	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	4	17	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	20	1	17	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	17	1	15	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	24	19	2	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	2	17	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	19	2	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	19	2	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	1	21	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	3	19	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	25	4	20	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	27	26	4	21	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	23	4	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	23	3	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	26	4	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	30	7	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	27	5	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	38	30	5	23	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	40	32	5	25	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20019. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20002	2.4 mi	212	2023
20743	2.6 mi	68	2023
20003	2.7 mi	164	2023
20390	2.9 mi	—
20018	3.0 mi	44	2023
20722	3.0 mi	14	2023
20020	3.0 mi	39	2023
20388	3.1 mi	—
20540	3.4 mi	4	2023
20510	3.5 mi	—
20710	3.5 mi	19	2023
20515	3.6 mi	2	1997

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.