BMIE Market 20052

District of Columbia, District of Columbia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,730 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	82 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	470 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	19.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20052
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	191.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20052. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. District of Columbia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 30, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	37.6	38	40%	+15.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.9	44	35%	+15.4
Market Momentum Score	46.2	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 38 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,730	51	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	82	12	20%	+4.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	44.0	12	25%	+3.7
Population (ACS)	2,730	51	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Anne's Pretzels George Washington University Auntie Anne's	Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Bakery	2121 I St NW	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	616 23rd St George Washington University	open
Chix N Stix	Food truck		800 21st St NW	open
District Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2121 H St NW B1 Level	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	616 23rd St George Washington Universi Twy	open
Foggy Bottom Wise Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2121 H St Nw # 129	open
George Washington University - Mitchell Hall Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	514 19th St NW	open
Maguro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2121 H St Nw Ste 129a	open
Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2121 H St NW #131	open
Point Chaud Café & Crêpes	Coffee shop	Coffee	2201 G St NW	open
SecreTea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1959 E St NW	open
Sixty Vines Foggy Bottom Sixty Vines	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2200 Pennsylvania Ave NW	open
South Block South Block	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2301 G St NW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1959 E St NW,Space C,George Washington University Space C	open
Tasty Kabob	Food truck		2130 H St NW	open
The Lounge - George Washington University	Bar		2121 H St NW	open
Uptowner Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	2023 G St NW	open
Wiseguy Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2121 H St Nw Ste 129a	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	18	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	11	2	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	11	2	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	11	2	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	3	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	—	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20052. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20431	0.2 mi	1	1997
20427	0.2 mi	—
20520	0.3 mi	1	2016
20415	0.3 mi	2	1997
20006	0.4 mi	76	2023
20245	0.4 mi	—
20240	0.4 mi	2	1997
20418	0.4 mi	1	1997
20551	0.4 mi	—
20566	0.5 mi	1	2001
20037	0.5 mi	46	2023
20036	0.7 mi	140	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.