BMIE Market 20613

Prince George's County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,860 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,424 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,422 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$530,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,988 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	72.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20613
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 25–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20613. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.1	83	35%	+29.1
Market Momentum Score	81.9	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,590	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	151,422	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	6,179	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	35%	+33.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	17,590	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	151,422	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	30%	+28.8
20-year restaurant growth	1,100	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 9 · Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Seafood 5 · Burgers 4 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 11 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Another Broken Egg Cafe Another Broken Egg Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	15904 S Crain Hwy	open
Asm Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16400 Crain Hwy	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	15916 Crain Hwy	open
Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	15910 Crain Hwy	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15814A Crain Hwy	open
Carolina Kitchen Carolina Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	15812 Crain Hwy	open
Cedarville store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11800 Cedarville Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	16104 Cadillac Dr Ste A	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	16104 Cadillac Drive Suite #A	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7511 Clymer Dr	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15804 Crain Hwy	open
Chevys Fresh Mex	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15914 Crain Hwy Unit A	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	16003 Crain Hwy	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	16110 Cadillac Dr	open
Country's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	15606 Baden Naylor Rd	open
Country's Seafood Carry-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	16705 Brandywine Rd	open
Crab Boss	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	14125 Brandywine Rd	open
Desoul Restaurant & Lounge Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7651 Matapeake Business Dr	open
Dickeys Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	15904 Crain Hwy	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	15810B Crain Hwy	open
Ej Bar&grill	Casual dining · Bar		15800 Brandywine Rd # 3216	open
Fuddruckers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15810A Crain Hwy	open
Gemeny Winery and Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8606 Cedarville Rd	open
Hanabi Japanese Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Japanese · Asian	15814-C, Crain Hwy	open
Hangry Joe's Brandywine Hot Chicken & Wings Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15805 Crane Hwy B	open
Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15805 Robert Crain Highway SW Unit B	open
Hibachi Express Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	16106 Cadillac Dr	open
Janemark Winery & Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		15200 Baden Naylor Rd	open
Janemark Winery & Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		15915 Bald Eagle School Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		15805 Robert Crain Highway SW Ste C	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	14330 S. Crain Hwy	open
Las delicias (Comida Hispana)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	13706 Brandywine Rd	open
Liquid Intrusion Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom			open
Mad Cow Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	15904 Crain Hwy	open
Mamma Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · Indian	15908 Crain Hwy	open
Maryland South Quick-service Company, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16003 Crain Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15806 Crain Hwy	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15914 Crain Highway	open
New York Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	American · Sandwiches		open
New York Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	13700 Old Brandywine Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	15902 S Crain Hwy	open
Piano Keys Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7651 Matapeake Business Dr	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15805 Robert Crain Highway Unit F	open
Robin Hill Farm and Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		15800 Croom Rd	open
Saladworks Saladworks	Quick service · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	15802 Crain Hwy	open
Soul Sistas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14123 BRANDYWINE Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15922 S Crain Hwy	open
Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee	15922 Crain Hwy (Target Brandywine T-2, 394)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	15810 S Crain Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches		open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	15815 Robert Crain Highway SW	open
Texas 202 Barbeque Of Maryland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	14123 Brandywine Rd	open
The Greene Turtle The Greene Turtle	Casual dining · Bar	American	15914 Crain Hwy	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	15805 Robert S. Crain Hwy	open
Up Top Funnel Cakes	Dessert	Dessert	13801 Brandywine Rd	open
Urban Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	15810 Crain Hwy	open
Wing Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15814 Crain Hwy	open
Ortega Ribs & Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8935 Dyson Rd # Oficina	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	7	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	7	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	22	8	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	20	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	22	11	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	24	12	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20613. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20601	4.5 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.