BMIE Market 20622

Charles County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,489 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,900 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,485 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$438,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,577 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20622
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 22–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20622. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.8	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	44.8	45	25%	+11.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,185	61	40%	+24.4
Median household income (ACS)	124,063	92	40%	+36.6
Households (ACS)	1,489	56	20%	+11.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	40.5	13	25%	+3.3
Population (ACS)	5,185	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	124,063	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.6	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 7 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 10 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AJ Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	30320 Triangle Dr	open
Annie's	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	30265 Charlotte Hall Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	30063 Market Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	30026 Three Notch Rd	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		29920 Three Notch Road	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	Three Notch Road	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30075 Three Notch Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	30170 Three Notch Rd	open
Farley's Pirate Pub	Bar		Yo ho ho and a bottle of rum!	open
Heavy Hitters Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	30125 Three Notch Rd	open
Ledo Pizza Charlotte Hall, MD Ledo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	37680 Mohawk Dr	open
Ljd Consulting Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30080 Three Notch Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	30050 Three Notch Rd	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	30105 Three Notch Rd # A	open
Nine Notch Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29969 Three Notch Rd	open
Old Beijing Cafe	Café	Chinese · Coffee · Asian	30320 Triangle Dr	open
Old Line Restaurant & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	30080 Three Notch Rd	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30320 Triangle Dr	open
Pizza Hotline Pizza Hotline	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	29948 Three Notch Rd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	30263 Triangle Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	30135 Three Notch Rd	open
Saint Marys Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29935 Three Notch Rd	open
Sharatea With Me	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	30155 Three Notch Rd	open
Smokey Oak BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13340 Olde Oak Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	29870 Three Notch Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	30015 Three Notch Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	30295 Three Notch Rd	open
sweetFrog	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30320 Triangle Drive, Unit 5	open
T &amp L Underwood Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30085 Charlotte Hall Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	30343 Triangle Dr	open
Tequila Grill & Cantina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	30320 Triangle Dr	open
Uncle Buns	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	30265 Charlotte Hall Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	30273 Triangle Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	2	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	20	6	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	18	4	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	19	5	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	21	6	11	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	21	7	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	5	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	22	5	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	21	4	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	22	4	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	22	5	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	21	4	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	21	—	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20622. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20632	4.2 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.