BMIE Market 20646
Charles County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,890 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,015 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $131,974 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $450,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 79.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20646 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +1.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +103.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +129.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 60 (range 55–64) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20646. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.5 | 87 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.8 | 63 | 35% | +22.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.3 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,400 | 82 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 131,974 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,756 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.0 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 25.7 | 26 | 25% | +6.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,400 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 131,974 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 1.9 | 58 | 50% | +29.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.0 | 61 | 30% | +18.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 103.7 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (94)
By cuisine
American 19 · Sandwiches 11 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 9 · Pizza 9 · Burgers 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · BBQ 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Japanese 4 · Mexican 4 · Sushi 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 24 · Dessert 12 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6390 Crain Hwy Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6390 Crain Hwy Ste 105 | open | |
| 7-Eleven | Coffee shop | Coffee | 610 Charles St | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 10 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Arby's | Quick service | 6370 Crain Hwy | open | |
| B. Doughnut La Plata | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 6700 Crain Hwy | open |
| Bayou Girl Drink Factory | Bar | 228 Rosewick Rd | open | |
| Benny's Sub Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6505 Crain Hwy | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 40 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Bollywood Masala | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 120 Rosewick Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6720 Crain Hwy | open |
| Casey Jones | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 417 Charles St | open | |
| Charles Street Bakery | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 507 Charles St | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks | Other | Sandwiches | 50 Drury Drive | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 50 Drury Drive | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 107 Drury Dr | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 105 Drury Dr Ste B Unit B | open |
| Coca Cola Enterprises | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 400 Charles St | open | |
| Coffee BEAN XYV | Coffee shop | Coffee | 220 Rosewick Road | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 105 Drury Drive, Suite D | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 22 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 509 E Charles St | open |
| Dominos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 6685 Crain Hwy | open |
| Donut Connection Donut Connection-Spring St/Charleston,WV | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 6498 Crain Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 48 Drury Dr | open |
| Eastern Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6619 Crain Hwy | open |
| El Rinconcinto Salvadoreño - La Plata | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 114 Drury Dr | open | |
| Facchina Construction Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9320 W And W Industrial Rd | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Foster's Grille Foster's Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6390 Crain Hwy #105 | open |
| Galazio Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 6223 Crain Hwy | open |
| Hunan Star III | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 6277 Crain Hwy | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 116 Rosewick Rd | open |
| Il Gusto Ristorante Gusto! | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 230 Rosewick Rd | open |
| Japan Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 105 Drury Dr | open |
| Jd Enterprises, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6370 Crain Hwy | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 105 Drury Drive Suite A | open |
| Johnny Boy's Ribs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 7540 Crain Hwy | open |
| Ka'ribbean Fire | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 13 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Kaow Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 68 Drury Dr | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 301 Charles St | open |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | Rt 301 & Rt 6 | open |
| KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6020 Bibury Ln | open |
| La Plata Smoothie & Energy Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 403 Charles St | open |
| La Tolteca La Plata | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6625 Crain Hwy | open |
| Landon's Ices and Creams | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 505 Charles St | open |
| Ledo Pizza La Plata, MD Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9375 Chesapeake St | open |
| Lettuce Be Frank | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 110 Charles St | open |
| Little Bits of Sweets | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 7710 Crain Highway | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 28 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Malhotraa Sons Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 Rosewick Rd | open | |
| Marie's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6325 Crain Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 109 Drury Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6385 Crain Highway | open |
| Mike's Chicken and Ribs | Food truck | BBQ · Chicken / wings | 6657 Hawkins Gate Rd | open |
| Mohali Investments Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6970 Hawthorne Rd | open | |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6 Saint Marys Ave Ste 104 | open |
| Ollie's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6970 Hawthorne Rd | open | |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 6649 Crain Hwy | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse Australia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 403 E Charles St | open |
| Ouzos Greek & Regional Cuisine Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6223 Crain Hwy | open | |
| Panda Express | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 6685 Crain Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 126 drury lane | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 116 Rosewick Rd | open | |
| Pizza Hotline Pizza Hotline | Delivery-focused | Pizza · Italian | 203 Charles St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 210 Rosewick Rd. Charles | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6591 Crain Hwy | open |
| Red Oak Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6390 Crain Hwy | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6360 Crain Hwy | open |
| Salsitas Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 234 Rosewick Rd | open |
| Softee Swerve | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7540 Dolly Dr | open | |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6685 Crain Hwy | open |
| Southern Maryland Seafood Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 220 Rosewick Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | Shopping Center, 6675 Crain Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Pizza · Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 60 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 40 Drury Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6486 Crain Hwy | open |
| Sweetfrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 228 Rosewick Rd | open |
| T And J Barbeque Pit 2nd Generation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 7670 Hawthorne Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 5995 Crain Hwy. | open |
| Texas Ribs & BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | BBQ · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7415 Crain Hwy | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 103 Drury Dr | open |
| The Farmhouse Cafe and Creperie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5695 Washington Ave. | open |
| The Greene Turtle Sports Bar and Grille The Greene Turtle | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Burgers · American · Sandwiches | 6 St Marys Ave | open |
| The RAD House | Bar | 82 Drury Dr | open | |
| Thompson's Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 114 Drury Dr | open |
| Three Brothers Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 13 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 105 Drury Dr | open |
| Twin Kiss | Dessert | BBQ · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 7415 Crain Hwy | open |
| Urban Bar-B-Que | Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Healthy / salads / bowls | 13 Shining Willow Way | open |
| Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian | 56 Drury Dr | open |
| Wee Bean | Food truck | 11 Washington Ave | open | |
| Wee Bean Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6580 Crain Hwy | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6293 Crain Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 27 | 10 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 36 | 17 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 37 | 15 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 36 | 13 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 45 | 17 | 24 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 51 | 47 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 42 | 14 | 23 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 45 | 17 | 24 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 47 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 53 | 49 | 16 | 28 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 57 | 54 | 20 | 28 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 55 | 53 | 18 | 28 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 53 | 51 | 16 | 27 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 55 | 51 | 15 | 28 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 58 | 52 | 17 | 26 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 61 | 55 | 19 | 29 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |