BMIE Market 20886

Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,718 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±751 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,759 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20886
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+63.6% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 12–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20886. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.6	87	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.3	69	35%	+24.3
Market Momentum Score	65.5	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,718	92	40%	+36.6
Median household income (ACS)	98,542	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	12,441	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.2	91	25%	+22.8
Population (ACS)	34,718	92	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	98,542	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.5	87	50%	+43.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	38.5	58	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Asian 5 · Mexican 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 6 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bar 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos Salvadoreños Isabel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	19114 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Athens Grill Athens Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	9124 Rothbury Dr	open
Athens Grill & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9124 Rothbury Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19316 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Booboo Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	19230 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	19290 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Donut King	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	19330 Montgomery Village Ave	open
D’s Smokehouse BBQ & Southern Cuisine Caterers	Catering	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9426 Fern Hollow Way	open
Eddie's Carryout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10001 Stedwick Rd	open
El Amigo Taqueria y pupuseria # 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	19300 Montgomery Village Ave	open
El Paisano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9112 Rothbury Dr	open
Guapo's Restaurant Rio Guapo's Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	Bishopstone Ct	open
Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		19292 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Hunan Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	9134 Rothbury Dr	open
Kobe Japan Hibachi And Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	19224 Montgomery Village Ave	open
La Poteria Local	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	19116 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19200 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Little Island Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10003 Stedwick Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	19388 Montgomery Village Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9100 Rothbury Dr	open
Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19222 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Palacio de Peru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	19222 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9130 Rothbury Dr Montgomery	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9130 Rothbury Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	19290 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19210 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9136 Rothbury Drive Space 14	open
Tai Shan Asian Cuisine & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	19404 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Team Restaurant Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9124 Rothbury Dr	open
Vilma Taco Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	19300 Montgomery Village Ave	open
Yoshiya Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	9122 Rothbury Dr	open
Latin Tex Mex Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19208 Montgomery Village Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	16	6	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	16	5	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	7	9	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	8	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	21	19	8	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	7	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	7	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	6	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	20	4	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	15	—	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	18	3	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20886. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20876	2.0 mi	39	2023
20879	2.6 mi	58	2023
20899	3.1 mi	1	2016
20877	3.4 mi	82	2023
20882	3.6 mi	9	2023
20880	3.7 mi	1	2003

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.