BMIE Market 20903

Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±569 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,625 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,318 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,534 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$485,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,819 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20903
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-41.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 1–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20903. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.3	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	26.6	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,815	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,768	63	40%	+25.2
Households (ACS)	7,205	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-41.2	8	35%	+2.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.0	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	24,815	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	80,768	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-41.2	8	30%	+2.3
20-year restaurant growth	-9.1	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 4 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blue Star Fast Food Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10159 New Hampshire Ave	open
Cheesesteak Mikes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	10222 New Hampshire Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10161 New Hampshire Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	10145 New Hampshire Ave	open
Double D Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1011 University Blvd E	open
Eastern Carry-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10205 New Hampshire Ave	open
El Jefe's Taqueria y Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	8875 Piney Branch Rd	open
Jerry's Subs and Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 University Blvd E	open
Jewel of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	10151 New Hampshire Ave	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10163 New Hampshire Ave	open
Panaderia El Quetzal	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	8308 12th Ave	open
Phnom Penh Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		706 University Blvd E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9200 New Hampshire Ave Montgomery	open
Pupuseria Libertad Ii	Food truck		10226 New Hampshire Ave	open
Quickway Japanese Hibachi Quickway Japanese Hibachi Carter's Crossing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	10161 New Hampshire Ave	open
Restaurant Manager Pos	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1734 Elton Rd	open
Shoney's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10001 New Hampshire Ave	open
Sopas Doña Silvia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Seafood	1104 Merrimac Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	10155 New Hampshire Avenue, Hillendale Shopping Center	open
The Big Greek Cafe Big Greek Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	10163 New Hampshire Ave	open
Tijuana Mexican Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	949 University Blvd E	open
Urban Bar-B-Que	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	10163 New Hampshire Ave	open
Viet Pho & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Vietnamese · Asian	1640 Elton Rd	open
Wendy's Wonderful Snow Cones	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9625 Mt Pisgah Rd	open
Chat N' Chew	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1734 Elton Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	4	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	4	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20903. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20901	1.6 mi	24	2023
20783	1.8 mi	60	2023
20742	2.8 mi	5	2023
20912	3.0 mi	42	2023
20740	3.0 mi	88	2023
20910	3.3 mi	134	2023
20904	3.4 mi	69	2023
20902	3.6 mi	98	2023
20782	3.9 mi	57	2023
20012	4.0 mi	16	2023
20705	4.8 mi	52	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.