BMIE Market 21074

Carroll County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±894 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,084 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,777 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,536 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,584 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±138 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$378,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,420 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21074
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 30–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21074. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.2	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	79.4	79	25%	+19.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,777	76	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	108,536	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	5,889	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.3	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	14,777	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	108,536	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.4	73	50%	+36.7
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Dessert 10 · American 8 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 7 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Town Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18720 Brick Store Rd	open
A-Town Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		18720 Brick Store Rd	open
Beijing Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	841 Main St	open
Bertucco's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2320 Hanover Pike	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2211 Brodbeck Rd	open
C&R Pub	Bar		721 Hanover Pike	open
China Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	2315 Hanover Pike	open
Cinco De Mayo Hampstead Cinco De Mayo Taneytown	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	721 Hanover Pike Unit 153	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2319-I Hanover Pike	open
Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		2309 Hanover Pike	open
County Line...AKA The 20 1/2 Mile House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	123 Hanover Pike	open
Daughters Cafe of Hampstead	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1005 S Main St Ste 200	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2275 Hanover Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2320 N Hanover Pike Wal-Mart	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	822 South Main St.	open
Fika Coffee Bar Fika Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1005 S Main St	open
Five Guys	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs	2319 Hanover Pike	open
Fratellis Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	2315 Hanover Pike	open
Fresh n Icy Mobile food	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	695 Hanover Pike	open
Galloping Goose Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4326 Maple Grove Rd	open
Genova's To Go Genova's To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Italian · Sandwiches	721 Hanover Pike	open
Greenleaf Juice Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · American · Tea / bubble tea	1222 N Main St	open
Greenmount Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1631 N Main St	open
Hampstead Diner	Casual dining	American	1365 N Main St	open
Hampstead Diner	Casual dining	American	4204 Wolf Ct	open
Hampstead VFC's Fundraising Page	Food truck		1341 N Main St	open
Hong Kong Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2320 Hanover Pike	open
Illiano's J&P Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	903 S Main St	open
J And P Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		903 S Main St	open
J J Hoffmans Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	841 S Main St Ste G	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2320 Hanover Pike	open
Karpathoes Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2315 Hanover Pike Ste A	open
Kfc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2309 Hanover Pike	open
Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2320 Hanover Pike	open
Little Gs Diner	Casual dining	American	1365 N Main St Ste B	open
LunaZul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	841 S Main St Ste e	open
Main Street Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	907 S Main St	open
Maison Greene	Coffee shop	Coffee	1622 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4225 Northwoods Trl	open
Michaels Steak And Lobster House Of Hampstead Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		721 Hanover Pike Ste 143	open
Outlaw BBQ Smokehouse & Catering	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1300 N Main St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2319 b Hanover Pike	open
Pipe The Side Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		721 Hanover Pike	open
Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4111 Lower Beckleysville Rd Ste 4	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	907 S Main St Ste E	open
Rita’s of Hampstead MD Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Rocco's Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	1301 N Main St	open
Roggenart European Bakery, Bistro & Cafe Roggenart	Bakery · Café	Bakery · European · Coffee	903 S Main St	open
Ruhlman Brewery Retail Store	Brewery / taproom		2300 Harvey Gummel Rd	open
Simmons Homemade Ice Cream Store	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2841 Snydersburg Rd	open
Snickerdoodles Bakery & Coffeehouse	Bakery	Bakery	903 S Main St	open
Steamin Mad Crabs, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	812 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2275 Hanover Pike	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1155 S Main St	open
Sunshine Snoballs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	1239 N Main St	open
The Snowbar	Dessert	Dessert	1229 N Main St	open
Three Marland Amigos, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		841 S Main St	open
Uncle Ron's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	812 S Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2320 Hanover Pike # 2320	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4224 North Woods Trl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	17	10	7	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	9	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	24	18	11	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	24	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	8	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	7	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	13	5	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	6	8	3	3	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	7	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	7	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	20	19	9	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	20	10	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	9	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	9	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	23	10	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	24	9	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	26	8	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	26	12	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	26	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	25	9	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	25	9	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	27	8	14	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	30	9	14	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21074. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21155	3.8 mi	3	2019
21102	4.9 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.