BMIE Market 21114

Anne Arundel County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$141,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,183 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±151 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$490,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21114
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 9–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.1 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21114. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.1	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.2	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	12.6	13	25%	+3.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,590	86	40%	+34.3
Median household income (ACS)	141,344	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	9,350	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25.9	11	35%	+3.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.8	81	25%	+20.3
Population (ACS)	25,590	86	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	141,344	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-23.1	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	-25.9	11	30%	+3.2
20-year restaurant growth	-9.1	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 4 · Seafood 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Mexican 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Seasons Curry & Kabab Plus Pizza & Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2219 Defense Hwy	open
Annapolis Cake and Candy Supply	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	2133 Defense Hwy	open
Bev Pro Services	Coffee shop	Coffee	2100 Concord Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2217 F. Defense Highway	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1645 Crofton Centre Crofton, MD	open
Chesapeake Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2100 Concord Blvd	open
Chesepiooc Real Ale Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2408 Crofton Blvd	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1659 Crofton Ctr	open
Crabs To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1651 State Route 3 N	open
Crofton Depot Deli Carryout	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2135 Defense Hwy	open
Dakshi Lucinda Dakshi Lucinda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2721 Columbia Boulevard	open
Davco Restaurants, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1657 Crofton Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2135 Defense Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	1200 MD-3	open
El Cabrito Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2046c Davidsonville Rd	open
Fat Boys Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1651 State Route 3 N	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1673 Crofton Ctr	open
Goodie's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1641 State Route 3 N, #108	open
Guiltless Bites Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1716 Denton Ct	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1699 Crofton Center	open
La Tolteca Mexican Restaurant. La Tolteca Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1673 Crofton Center	open
Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza · Italian	1286 State Route 3 S	open
Lemongrass Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	2225 Defense Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2046 Davidsonville Rd	open
Loaf & Lou Bread Co.	Bakery	Bakery	1552 Ellsworth Ave	open
Maprow Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Asian · Tea / bubble tea	1286 State Route 3 S	open
Moni's Place	Bar		1641 MD-3	open
Nautilus Crofton Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1709 Transportation Dr	open
Nautilus Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1709 Transportation Dr	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1153 MD-3	open
Nonna Angela's Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2225 Defense Hwy A	open
Panda Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1060 Crain Highway Ste 100	open
Paris Baguette Paris Baguette	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1501 Crofton Center	open
Pho 5up Crofton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1268 Cronson Blvd	open
Pho Saigon Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho	2171 Defense Hwy	open
Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2177 Defense Hwy	open
Punjab Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	2219 Defense Hwy	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2163 Defense Hwy	open
Squisito Crofton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1663 Crofton Ctr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1649 Crofton Center	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2211 Defense Hwy	open
Sugar Butter Love	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1723 Tarleton Way	open
The Big Fish Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1260 Crain Hwy	open
The Crab Shack Crofton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1260 MD-3	open
The Tre C's Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1663 Crofton Ctr	open
Walden Bar & Grill	Bar		1500 Riedel Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	1657 Crofton Blvd	open
Winchester Home Bar	Bar		1609 Petes Ct	open
Zankbaneeeee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1743 Kingsgate Dr	open
Allison's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2207 Defense Hwy	closed
Benfield Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2135 Defense Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	20	13	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	12	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	19	12	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	17	11	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	25	22	14	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	13	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	24	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	24	22	9	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	23	9	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	8	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	26	22	8	12	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	22	9	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	9	13	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	25	23	10	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	33	31	13	16	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	29	27	11	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	29	27	11	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	36	33	13	15	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	9	15	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	32	29	9	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	26	6	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	24	7	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	22	7	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	6	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	19	6	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21114. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21054	3.2 mi	69	2023
20715	3.2 mi	41	2023
21113	4.0 mi	41	2023
21032	4.5 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.