BMIE Market 21136

Baltimore County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	32,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±681 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,781 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,146 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$422,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,664 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21136
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	56 (range 51–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21136. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.2	90	40%	+36.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.6	75	35%	+26.1
Market Momentum Score	76.1	76	25%	+19.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	32,088	90	40%	+36.1
Median household income (ACS)	118,500	90	40%	+35.9
Households (ACS)	13,048	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.8	76	35%	+26.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.2	49	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	32,088	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	118,500	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30	83	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	36.8	76	30%	+22.7
20-year restaurant growth	40.5	59	20%	+11.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (88)

By cuisine

Pizza 15 · American 13 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Italian 8 · Asian 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 15 · Bar 13 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&D Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	218 Main St	open
African restaurant/catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	124 Chartley Dr	open
Angel Chemdry	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 W Chestnut Hill Ln	open
Antojitos Daysi’s #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11718 Reisterstown Rd	open
Arlon's Carry Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)		116 Chartley Dr	open
Asia Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Seafood	14 Franklin Blvd	open
Asian Taste One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	11626 Reisterstown Rd	open
Bedazzled Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	29 Shetland Cir	open
Bill Bateman's Bistro	Bar		102 Chartley Dr	open
Bill Bateman's Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Chartley Dr	open
Blue Lagoon Maryland	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian · Asian	11706 Reisterstown Rd	open
Burger King	Quick service		11907 Reisterstown Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1 W Chestnut Hill Ln	open
Chandi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11604 Reisterstown Rd	open
Checkers and Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	11700 Reisterstown Rd	open
Chen Family, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11714 Reisterstown Rd Ste E	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	12001 Reisterstown Rd	open
Chicken Shak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	75 Main St	open
Chill Snowballs & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	249 Main St	open
China Jade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Seafood	21 Main St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11907 Reisterstown Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	11616 Reisterstown Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11808 Reisterstown Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	48 Main St	open
Egg Drop Acres	Food truck		2201 Elderberry Ln	open
El Gran Pollo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Main St	open
El Paraiso Restaurant and Bakery	Bakery	Latin American (other) · Bakery	11628 Reisterstown Rd	open
Farmacy Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3100 Black Rock Rd	open
FOOD STOP PIZZA & GRILL	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Sandwiches	21 Main St	open
Fuji Yama Domoishi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	11618 Reisterstown Rd	open
Full Moon Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1100 Westminster Pike	open
Funhouse	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Fusion Flavors Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	116 Chartley Dr	open
Gbps Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		116 Chartley Dr	open
Genova's To Go Reisterstown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13022 Old Hanover Rd	open
Grand Ash Cigar Lounge	Bar		511 Main St	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	11804 Reisterstown Rd	open
Illiano's J & P	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4821 Butler Rd	open
Illianos J&p Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4821 Butler Rd	open
Java Mammas	Coffee shop	Coffee	214 Main St	open
Jay's Bubble Tea and Pinoy Snacks, MD	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	110 Chartley Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	11905 Reisterstown Rd	open
JOY PIZZA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza · American	11613 Reisterstown Rd	open
Kecco's Woodfire Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	114 Westminster Pike	open
Little Georgia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · European	2 Hanover Pike	open
Living Room Lounge	Bar		218 Main St	open
Luca's New York Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18 Franklin Blvd	open
Mama Tana Reisterstown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	21-A Main St	open
Maria's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean	31 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12012 Reisterstown Rd	open
Ocean City Brewing Company	Bar		11606 Reisterstown Rd	open
Oliver Garden Restaurante	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian		open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	11708 a reisterstown rd	open
Piedras Calientes Bistro	Quick service		21 Main St Ste A	open
Pizza & Sub King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11700 Reisterstown Rd	open
Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11810 Reisterstown Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 W Chestnut Hill Ln Baltimore	open
Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11801 Reisterstown Rd	open
Pizza Wings and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	18 Franklin Blvd #3068	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11818 Reisterstown Rd	open
Reter's Crab House and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	509 Main St	open
Rice Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	513 Main St	open
Ristorante Firenze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2 Hanover Rd	open
Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11700 Reisterstown Rd Ste A	open
Sabor Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	11714 Reisterstown Rd	open
Sam's Bagel & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	11708 Reisterstown Rd	open
Sedney Development	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	503 Sunbrook Rd	open
Sonny Lee's Hunan Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Chinese	750 Main St Unit 104-a	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	11907 Reisterstown Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4821 Butler Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11812 Reisterstown Road	open
Sweet April's Cupcakes & More	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert		open
Szechuan Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11714 Reisterstown Rd	open
Tavern Lounge	Bar		523 Main St	open
The Arepa Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		11903 Reisterstown Rd	open
The Cow	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	201 Main St	open
The Exotic Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	115 Hanover Rd	open
The Reisters Daughter	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	202 Main St	open
The Watkins Dead and Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast		open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11907 Reisterstown Rd	open
Tru Bros BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	210 Highmeadow Rd	open
Village Kabob	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	11808 Reisterstown Rd	open
Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	38 Main St	open
WamosCreations	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	655 Main St	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11818 Reisterstown Rd	open
Woodensburg Market	Other	Sandwiches	13819 Hanover Pike	open
YogYum	Quick service		11808 Reisterstown Rd	open
The Grill At Harryman House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	340 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	28	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	28	25	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	43	41	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	38	37	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	43	39	18	15	5	2	NAICS1997
1999	43	39	18	16	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	45	40	19	16	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	41	39	18	16	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	40	39	15	20	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	40	37	16	19	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	43	40	16	21	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	47	45	17	24	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	49	47	16	27	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	48	46	16	25	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	45	43	11	30	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	40	38	8	27	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	38	37	8	27	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	41	40	10	27	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	38	37	9	26	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	39	38	11	25	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	43	42	13	26	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	43	42	14	25	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	41	41	13	24	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	40	40	12	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	40	13	25	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	42	13	26	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	45	45	12	26	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	48	47	10	30	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	50	50	11	31	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	53	52	14	28	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21136. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21071	3.6 mi	3	2023
21117	3.8 mi	113	2023
21133	4.6 mi	42	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.