BMIE Market 21144

Anne Arundel County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,884 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,447 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,881 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,026 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$483,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21144
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21144. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.9	93	40%	+37.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.4	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	40.2	40	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,118	93	40%	+37.1
Median household income (ACS)	136,684	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	13,019	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.0	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	37,118	93	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	136,684	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.1	64	50%	+32.0
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	-6.3	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 3 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aegean Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2622 Annapolis Rd	open
Ashly's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Mexican · Latin American (other)	7940 Telegraph Rd	open
Carlson's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	7846 Telegraph Rd	open
Casa Della Nonna	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	8141 Telegraph Rd #1	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	7831 Quarterfield Park Road	open
China Sea Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2620 Annapolis Rd	open
Dragon and Sunshine's Pub	Bar	American	790 Meadow Rd	open
Ellie's Place	Casual dining · Bar	American	1139 Thompson Ave	open
Gianni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2622 Annapolis Rd	open
Greek On The Street In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		7833 Sandy Farm Rd	open
Ichiban Hibachi and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7860 Quarterfield Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	810 Reece Road	open
Oak Grove Tavern	Bar · Quick service · Casual dining		1139 Thompson Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2614 Annapolis Rd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2612 Annapolis Rd	open
R.& P. Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		1026 Minnetonka Rd	open
Shorty's Ice Shack	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7865 Quarterfield Rd	open
Smith Brothers Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8141 Telegraph Rd	open
Spudtacular	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Juice / smoothies · American	7940 Telegraph Rd	open
Subway Auntie Anne's	Other · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	407 George Clauss Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2622B Annapolis Rd	open
Sweet Eden Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2604-A Annapolis Rd	open
Taqueria Mi Pueblo LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7741 Telegraph Rd	open
Taqueria Sabor Latino Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	805 Reece Rd	open
Taste Of The Island & Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1155 Reece Rd	open
Uncle B's BBQ, Catering and Food Truck	Catering · Food truck	BBQ	8272 Quarterfield Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	407 George Clauss Blvd	open
Wings Things & Pizza &pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	7863 Quarterfield Rd	open
Youchefs Cuisine	Food truck	Thai · Asian	Telegraph Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	3	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	14	4	9	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	4	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	17	4	12	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	2	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	3	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	15	4	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	21	4	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	3	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	17	4	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	18	4	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	22	16	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	15	3	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	18	4	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21144. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21077	2.9 mi	1	2016
21108	3.7 mi	25	2023
21061	3.7 mi	126	2023
21240	3.8 mi	25	2023
20755	3.9 mi	6	2023
21076	4.3 mi	90	2023
21113	4.4 mi	41	2023
21054	4.5 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.