BMIE Market 21403
Anne Arundel County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 32,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,770 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,359 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±785 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 30,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,329 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $123,329 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $582,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21403 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +21.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +9.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +55.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +60.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 38–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21403. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.3 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.5 | 69 | 35% | +24.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 69.2 | 69 | 25% | +17.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 32,681 | 90 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 123,329 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,359 | 93 | 20% | +18.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.8 | 54 | 35% | +18.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.8 | 57 | 25% | +14.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 32,681 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 123,329 | 91 | 20% | +18.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 21.6 | 79 | 50% | +39.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 9.8 | 54 | 30% | +16.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 55.2 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
American 21 · Coffee 12 · Seafood 10 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Chinese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Bar 16 · Café 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams on Fourth | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 424 Fourth St | open |
| Adams Taphouse and Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 921 Chesapeake Ave | open |
| Ahh Coffee! | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1015 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| Annapolis Smokehouse and Tavern Midwood Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 107 Hillsmere Dr | open |
| Bakers & Co. | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 618 Chesapeake Ave | open |
| Bay Zu Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 934 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Beacon Waterfront | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 2020 Chesapeake Harbour Dr E | open |
| Bgx1 Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 946 Bay Ridge Rd | open | |
| Blackwall Hitch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 400 6th St | open |
| Boatyard Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 400 Fourth St | open |
| Bread and Butter Kitchen | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 303 2nd St | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1409 Forest Dr | open |
| Caliente Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) | 907 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Carrol's Creek Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 410 Severn Ave | open |
| Cha Cha Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1411 Forest Dr | open |
| Chart House Prime Chart House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 300 Second St | open |
| Chesapeake Bay Seafood Industries Association | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 110 Severn Ave | open |
| China Wok China Wok, Altavista Va. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1017 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| Club Gilman | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 967 Windwhisper Ln | open | |
| Crab Nation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 326 1st St | open |
| CTC Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 311 1st St | open |
| Dark Horse | Bar · Casual dining | American | 985 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Davis' Pub | Bar | American | 400 Chester Ave | open |
| Deadrise Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1410 Forest Dr | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 914 Bay Ridge Rd Ste 120 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 934 Bay Ridge Road | open |
| Eastport Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 923 Chesapeake Ave | open |
| El Cabrito Mexican Grill El Cabrito Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1407 Forest Dr | open |
| El Rincon Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1313 Forest Dr | open |
| Elsy'nela Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Farr International Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 613 Third St # 11 | open | |
| Forward Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 418 Fourth St | open | |
| Fresh Healthy Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1419 Forest Dr Ste 10 | open |
| Grapes Wine Bar & Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1410 Forest Dr | open | |
| Great Frogs Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3218 Harness Creek Rd | open | |
| Grump's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 117 Hillsmere Dr | open |
| Horton Marine Services Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7416 Edgewood Rd | open | |
| Jack's Fortune | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 960 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Jakie la Acapulquena L | Bar · Quick service | 1176 Tyler Ave | open | |
| Jerry's Subs & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 914 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Joy Luck I | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 905 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| La Sierra Mexican Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 335 6th St | open |
| Leaping Gnome Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 107 Hillsmere Dr | open | |
| Leeward Market | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 601 Second St | open |
| Lewnes' Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 401 4th St | open |
| Little Italy Annapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1411 Forest Dr | open |
| Main & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · American | 914 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| Main Ingredient Main & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Catering · Bakery | Coffee · American · Bakery | 914 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Margaritaville Annapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 897 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Mexican Cafe To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 958 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Mt Zion United Methodist Church Eastport-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 612 Second St | open | |
| Nam Pho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1015 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| O'Learys Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 310 3rd St | open |
| Occasions by Cheryl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3 Victor Pkwy | open | |
| Oloughlins | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 19 Bay Dr | open |
| Oscar's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 105 Eastern Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 115 hillsmere drive | open |
| Peter Chang Annapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 918 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Pit Boys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches · American | 1515 Forest Dr | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 903 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Rita’s of Bay Ridge Road MD Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 911 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Rocco's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 954 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Rumhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Caribbean | 422 6th St | open |
| Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 301 Severn Ave | open |
| Sam's On The Waterfront | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2020 Chesapeake Harbour Dr | open |
| Squisito Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1007A Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 951 Bay Ridge Rd, Annapolis, MD 21403 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 895 Bay Ridge Rd | open |
| Sweet Hearts Patisserie | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1410 Forest Dr | open |
| Taqueria El Cabrito food Truck Taqueria El Arquito | Food truck | Mexican | 2232 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
| Taqueria Juquilita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 126 Hillsmere Dr | open |
| The Yard Holdings Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 222 Severn Ave | open | |
| Viking Systems Inc 401k Plan Fbo Christo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 326 First St Ste 36 | open | |
| Vin 909 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 909 Bay Ridge Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 28 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 30 | 27 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 35 | 33 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 35 | 33 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 29 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 39 | 32 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 40 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 29 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 30 | 17 | 12 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 15 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 38 | 35 | 17 | 17 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 36 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 39 | 15 | 19 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 39 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 40 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 41 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 41 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 47 | 42 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 41 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 49 | 43 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 46 | 41 | 17 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 37 | 20 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 39 | 21 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 38 | 22 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 42 | 22 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 44 | 22 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 45 | 22 | 20 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |