BMIE Market 21532

Allegany County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±828 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,511 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,620 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,425 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,690 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$916 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$182,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	74.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21532
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+4.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21532. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.8	60	40%	+23.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.0	50	35%	+17.5
Market Momentum Score	43.9	44	25%	+11.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,647	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	63,690	37	40%	+14.6
Households (ACS)	5,511	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4.2	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.3	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	13,647	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	63,690	37	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	4.2	49	30%	+14.8
20-year restaurant growth	13.6	42	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (66)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 22 · Casual dining 10 · Quick service 9 · Café 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
10 Cows Creamery and Coffee	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14502 New Georges Creek Rd SW	open
Baker Babes LLC	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	82 E Main St	open
Bill's Grub Hub	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	131 Bowery St	open
Bj's Mountainside Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 George St	open
Blank's Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		17700 Mt Savage Rd NW	open
Bonbonbabees Sweet Treats	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	134 E College Ave A	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6 Hampton Inn Dr	open
Cafe Oasis	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Asian	Frostburg Plaza Shopping Center, 10701 New Georges Creek Rd SW Ste 14B	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Stadium Road, Lane Center	open
Chicken Coupe	Quick service		18026 National Pike	open
Cindys Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1306 Finzel Rd	open
Clatter Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	15 S Broadway	open
Dante's Bar	Bar		14 W Main St Apt 7	open
Dedi's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	167 E Main St	open
Devlin's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		14811 Broadway St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	16 Maple St	open
Eastern Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	109 E Main St	open
El Maya Mexican Bar and Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	295 E Main St	open
Fatboy's Pizza Shack	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	116 E Main St	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	17601 Old National Pike SW	open
Foxs Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14502 New Georges Creek Rd SW	open
Gianni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6 E Main St	open
Giuseppe's Italian Restaurant Giuseppe's Restaurant & Bar Wagga	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	11 Bowery St	open
Hen House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18072 National Pike	open
Hi-Way Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	46 E College Ave	open
Hurry Back Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		220 W Main St	open
Lashbaugh's West	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		210 W Main St	open
LG's Pizzeria and Pub	Bar	Pizza	113 E Main St	open
Lorenzo's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12 S Broadway	open
Mario's Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	314 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	17700 National Hwy	open
Mcfarland Candies	Dessert		22 S Broadway	open
Midland Fireman's Tavern	Bar	American	14823 Broadway St SW	open
Miners Alley	Casual dining · Bar		17203 Porter Rd SW	open
Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	101 Braddock Road	open
Mountain City Coffeehouse and Creamery	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	60 E Main St	open
Outback Lounge	Bar		147 E Main St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10711 New George Creek Rd	open
Princess Restaurant	Casual dining	American	12 W Main St	open
Sand Springs Saloon & Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	188 W Main St	open
Sandwich Stop	Quick service	Sandwiches	167 E Main St	open
Shift, a farm to table eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	39 S Broadway	open
Shogun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	104 E Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	101 Braddock Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10701 New Georges Creek Rd SW	open
The Bar Monkey	Bar		68 E Main St	open
The Beach Club Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		202 Center St	open
The Dawg House Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		157 E Main St	open
The Deep End	Brewery / taproom		16 W Main St	open
The Draft Sports Bar & Grille	Bar		295 E Main St	open
The Frostburg Freeze	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Dessert · Burgers	225 E Main St	open
The Gin Mill	Bar		11 W Main St	open
The Goats place	Bar		5 Jenkins St	open
The Green Lantern	Bar		16292 National Pike	open
The Lounge - Frostburg State University	Bar		101 Braddock Rd	open
The Lunch Box	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	167 E Main St	open
The Main Street Pub	Bar		167 E Main St	open
The Nettle Patch, LLC Herb Shop and Tea Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	14 S Broadway	open
The Pursuit	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	68 E Main St	open
The Sun Up Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	17601 Old National Pike SW	open
Trail Inn & Cafe	Café	Coffee	20 Depot Rd	open
Walk by Faith Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	39 S Broadway	open
Yamato Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	10701 New Georges Creek Rd SW #10	open
Zen-shi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	104 E Main St	open
El-canelo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	45 E Main St	closed
Fairways Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Maplehurst Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	24	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	28	23	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	33	26	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	33	29	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	30	25	15	9	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	29	25	16	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	28	23	14	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	25	21	15	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	26	21	14	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	22	15	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	34	27	18	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	29	25	14	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	36	30	13	14	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	31	25	13	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	13	9	3	5	NAICS2007
2009	32	25	13	9	3	5	NAICS2007
2010	31	23	13	7	3	5	NAICS2007
2011	35	27	14	10	3	5	NAICS2007
2012	38	28	14	11	3	7	NAICS2012
2013	35	24	14	8	2	8	NAICS2012
2014	29	21	11	8	2	6	NAICS2012
2015	29	23	12	9	1	5	NAICS2012
2016	29	23	11	10	1	5	NAICS2012
2017	41	24	11	10	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	42	25	11	11	—	7	NAICS2017
2019	44	26	10	14	—	8	NAICS2017
2020	40	22	8	12	—	8	NAICS2017
2021	39	21	7	12	—	7	NAICS2017
2022	39	21	8	11	—	7	NAICS2022
2023	41	25	10	13	—	6	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21532. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21543	1.3 mi	1	1998
21539	3.9 mi	1	2016
21542	4.4 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.