BMIE Market 21703
Frederick County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 41,960 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,889 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±686 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 32,854 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,772 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $106,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $384,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 63 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21703 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -1.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +37.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +6,200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 64 (range 59–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.6 | 91 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.5 | 66 | 35% | +23.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 39.0 | 39 | 25% | +9.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 41,960 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,334 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,517 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5 | 50 | 35% | +17.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.0 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 41,960 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,334 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -1.6 | 25 | 50% | +12.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5 | 50 | 30% | +14.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 37.0 | 57 | 20% | +11.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (114)
By cuisine
American 17 · Mexican 10 · Pizza 10 · Asian 9 · Dessert 8 · Italian 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 72 · Quick service 23 · Bar 11 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 9 · Casual dining 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 The Love Of Sweets | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1100 W Patrick St Ste M | open |
| a.k.a. Friscos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4632 Wedgewood Blvd | open |
| AlessAndrA Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1316 David Ln | open |
| Ana's Pupuseria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Breakfast | 10 Hillcrest Dr | open |
| Anchor Bar Frederick Anchor Bar-San Antonio | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5605 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Antojitos Salvadorenos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5821 Butterfly Ln | open | |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5613 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Quick service | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open | |
| Auntie Anne's Pretzels | Quick service | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open | |
| Ayoka African Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 1100 W Patrick St Ste M | open |
| Baja Fresh | Quick service | 5595 Spectrum Dr Unit 101 | open | |
| Baltimore Coffee & Tea Baltimore Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 5209 Presidents Ct | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4969 Westview Dr | open |
| Beef 'O' Brady's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6956 Crestwood Blvd | open | |
| Bob Evans Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5577 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Bojangles Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1312 W. Patrick St | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1350 W Patrick St | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6960 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Catoctin Popcorn Co. | Dessert | 650 Medimmune Ct | open | |
| CAVA CAVA | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 5615 Spectrum Drive | open |
| Chaps Pit Beef Frederick | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 4969 Westview Dr | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 6459 Corporate Drive | open |
| Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 5308 New Design Rd | open | |
| China Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5862 Ballenger Creek Pike | open |
| China Sea Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6944 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Chopsticks Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open |
| Cornucopia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6956 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Crepes & Beyond | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1080 West Patrick St. Unit 11 Vista Shops | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4959 Westview Drive Unit A | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1296 W Patrick St | open |
| Dutch's Daughter | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 581 Himes Ave | open |
| Eastern 89 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5328 New Design Rd | open |
| Evolutionary Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5901 Enterprise Ct | open | |
| Flamin Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1100 W Patrick St | open |
| Flying Dog Brewery | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 4607 Wedgewood Blvd | open | |
| Frederick Yogurt Co Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5599 Spectrum Dr Ste 102 | open | |
| Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5621 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Graf Wolf Development Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4632 Wedgewood Blvd | open | |
| Gran Azteca Mexican Food Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6956 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Halal Diversity | Quick service | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open |
| Halal Diversity | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open | |
| Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5595 Spectrum Dr | open | |
| Hemingway’s Hole: A Key West Themed Garage Bar | Bar | 5895 Bella Marie Way | open | |
| J and V El Eden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1080 W Patrick St #9 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5599 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 1046 W Patrick St | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 5221 Presidents Ct | open |
| Kittiwat Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5205 Presidents Ct | open |
| Krop & Associates Pc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5340 Spectrum Dr | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open |
| La Carreta Tacos Y Tortas | Food truck | 1180 W Patrick St | open | |
| Lone Star Steakhouse & Saloon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 5605 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Long Shot's | Bar | 5400 Holiday Dr | open | |
| Los Trios Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1306 W Patrick St Ste 12 | open |
| Los Trios Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1306 W Patrick St | open |
| Luke's Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6942 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Mackie's Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1180 W Patrick St | open |
| Manalu Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5227 Presidents Ct | open |
| Manna Taqueria & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1100 W Patrick St | open |
| Modern Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Asian | 1306 W Patrick St | open |
| Mountain View Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1300 W Patrick St | open |
| Naz's Halal Food - Frederick | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 1080 W Patrick St | open |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5597 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Nutrition 4 Ur Mind, Llc | Café | Coffee | 5828 Ballenger Creek Pike | open |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5609 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Paisano's Pizza Paisano's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5868 Ballenger Creek Pike | open |
| Panda Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1220 W Patrick St | open | |
| Peru Inka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian | 1170 W Patrick St | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1220 W Patrick | open |
| Pollo Campero Frederick Pollo Campero USA | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Latin American (other) | 1350 W Patrick St | open |
| Prospect Point Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 5500a Jefferson Pike | open | |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5597 Spectrum Drive #101 Frederick | open |
| Raspados Don Miguel | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 100 Hill St | open |
| Red Horse Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 996 W Patrick St | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1020 W Patrick St | open |
| Restaurante americano jose perez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1210 Stillmeadow Pl | open |
| Rosa Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open |
| Roy Rogers Roy Rogers | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 301 Ballenger Center Dr | open |
| Roy Rogers Roy Rogers | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1240 W Patrick St | open |
| Roy Rogers Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4991 New Design Rd Ste 109 | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1312 W Patrick St | open |
| Sabor Casero Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 1080 W Patrick St | open |
| Sabor chapin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 649 Himes Ave | open |
| Shiba Sushi & Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 5215 Presidents Ct | open |
| SLAM Snowcones | Dessert · Food truck | 5630 Haydown court | open | |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5219-A Presidents Court | open |
| Sports Enterprises, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 996 W Patrick St | open | |
| Starvin Marvin Pizzeria and Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6942 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Starving Marvin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6942 Crestwood Blvd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5854 Ballenger Creek Pike | open |
| Sushi Nomu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4969 Westview Dr | open |
| sweetFrog sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5599 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 305 Ballenger Center Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1086 W Patrick St. | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 5583 Spectrum Dr | open |
| Taichi Bubble Tea, Ramen and Poke - Frederick Taichi Bubble Tea Chattanooga Gunbarrel Road | Juice, smoothie, tea | Asian · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 5866 Ballenger Creek Pike | open |
| Tanzo Japanese Steak & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5500 Buckeystown Pike | open | |
| TANZO Japanese Steak and Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 5500 Buckeystown Pike, Ste. 615, Frederick, MD. 21704 | open |
| Taste of Reggae 3 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1200 W Patrick St | open |
| Taste of Reggae 3 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1200 W Patrick St | open |
| Tc Industries Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5219A Presidents Ct | open | |
| Thai Meric Eatery & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1170 W Patrick St | open |
| Three Beagles Brewing and Cigar Bar | Brewery / taproom | 102 Lauren Ct | open | |
| Tilted Kilt | Bar | 5605 Spectrum Dr | open | |
| Tj Wireless Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 W Patrick St | open | |
| TLJFrederick | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1170 W Patrick St | open |
| Toppings Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5330 New Design Rd | open |
| Tous les Jours Tous les Jours | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1170 W Patrick St, Frederick, MD 21703 | open |
| Tulip Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Indian | 4 S McCain Dr | open |
| UUCF Coffeehouse | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 4880 Elmer Derr Rd | open |
| Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5582 Spectrum Dr | closed |
| Roppongi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1080 W Patrick St | closed | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5500 Buckeystown Pike Ste 810 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 43 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 52 | 46 | 20 | 23 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 49 | 42 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 54 | 46 | 19 | 24 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 52 | 43 | 17 | 23 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 53 | 45 | 16 | 26 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 54 | 46 | 17 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 54 | 46 | 18 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 54 | 47 | 17 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 57 | 48 | 18 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 61 | 53 | 17 | 27 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 68 | 60 | 21 | 27 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 63 | 57 | 20 | 25 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 68 | 62 | 25 | 27 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 69 | 61 | 22 | 30 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 66 | 61 | 22 | 32 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 69 | 64 | 21 | 35 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 63 | 58 | 18 | 33 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 63 | 58 | 18 | 32 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 66 | 61 | 17 | 36 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 67 | 64 | 22 | 33 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 65 | 63 | 25 | 31 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |