BMIE Market 21750

Washington County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,417 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±496 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,766 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,779 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,758 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$232,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	61.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21750
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21750. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.5	45	40%	+18.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.6	40	35%	+13.9
Market Momentum Score	35.3	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,417	54	40%	+21.7
Median household income (ACS)	60,625	31	40%	+12.2
Households (ACS)	1,628	58	20%	+11.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	35.1	16	25%	+4.0
Population (ACS)	3,417	54	20%	+10.9
Median household income (ACS)	60,625	31	20%	+6.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 7 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Burgers 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baker Canner Co.	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	14615 Bain Rd	open
Blue Goose Fruit Market & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	557 E Main St	open
Buddy Lou's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11 E Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	434 E Main St	open
C&O Rail Trail in Hancock	Bar	Steakhouse		open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	266 N Pennsylvania Ave	open
Fractured Banana Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	101 W Main St	open
Gimpy's BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	114 Baptist Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	42 East Main Street	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		434 E MAIN St	open
Jimmy Joy's Log Cabin Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	7536 Millstone Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	434 E Main St	open
Park And Dine Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		189 E Main St	open
Post 26 Diner	Casual dining	American	240 E Main St	open
Potomac River Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	4 Blue Hl	open
Sandy JAKS Country Crossroads	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	14407 Hollow Rd	open
Snix Snax Shax Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	12500 Willow Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	179 W Main St	open
Sweet Mom Scoop	Dessert	Japanese · Sushi · Korean · Ice cream / frozen desserts	64 W Main St	open
The Reel Deal	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6 S Pennsylvania Ave	open
Town Tavern	Bar		15 W Main St	open
Triangle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	200 E Main St	open
Weaver's Restaurant & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	77 W Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	4	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	14	11	5	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21750. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.