BMIE Market 22911
Albemarle County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,022 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,996 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,971 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $128,235 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,920 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $454,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,720 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 51.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22911 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 26.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +12.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +228.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +4,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 50 (range 45–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22911. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.6 | 86 | 40% | +34.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.3 | 61 | 35% | +21.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.7 | 68 | 25% | +16.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,107 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,235 | 93 | 40% | +37.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,996 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12.2 | 56 | 35% | +19.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.1 | 28 | 25% | +7.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,107 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,235 | 93 | 20% | +18.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.0 | 64 | 50% | +31.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12.2 | 56 | 30% | +16.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 228.6 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (95)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 13 · Sandwiches 12 · Pizza 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Asian 6 · Burgers 5 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 16 · Café 12 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 10 · Dessert 10 · Coffee shop 7 · Other 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91154m MJH Greenberrys | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 500 Martha Jefferson Dr | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2005 Abbey Rd | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1700 Timberwood Blvd | open |
| Barnaby's Of Charlottesville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | open | |
| Bojangles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2009 Abbey Rd | open | |
| Bojangles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3370 Seminole Trl | open | |
| Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 269 Conner Dr | open |
| Brix Terrace Cafe | Café | Coffee | 594 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings 'GO' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 930 Olympia Dr Ste 106 | open |
| Charlottesville Wine and Country | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 3164 Watts Passage | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1626 Richmond Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 2040 Abbey Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 109 Community St | open |
| Christian's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3440 Seminole Trail | open |
| Crumbl - Charlottesville | Dessert | Dessert | 129 Community St | open |
| Daily Grind | Coffee shop · Dessert · Café | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3450 Seminole Trail | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill - Charlottesville Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 1777 Fortune Park Rd | open |
| Dips & Sips | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3450 Seminole Trl | open |
| Diy Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1880 Abbey Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1880 Abbey Rd. | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 341 Towncenter Ln Suite 300 A | open |
| DQ Charlottesville | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1777 Fortune Park Rd | open |
| Ducard Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1885 Kernwood Pl | open | |
| Dunkin' | Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 160 Riverbend Drive | open |
| East Garden | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 120 Riverbend Dr | open |
| El Jaripeo El Jaripeo Mexican Restaurant - Charlottesville, VA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1750 Timberwood Blvd | open |
| Everyday Shop and Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Sandwiches | 240 Rolkin Rd | open |
| First Free Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 340 Towncenter Ln | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 201 Connor Blvd | open |
| Foods of all nations north | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 995 Research Park Boulevard | open |
| Greenberry's Franchising Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1610 Quail Run | open | |
| Grit Coffee, Riverside Village Grit Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 610 Riverside Shops Way | open |
| Guadalajara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 108 Town and Country Ln | open |
| Guadalajara Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3450 Seminole Trl | open |
| Hangry Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 394 Pantops Ctr | open | |
| Hardee's | Quick service | 105 New House Dr | open | |
| Hawk Ridge Lounge | Bar | 2400 Summit Ridge Trl | open | |
| Hoo's Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5046 Seminole Trl | open |
| Jbd Event Catering And Soulfood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 341 Towncenter Ln Ste 400 | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2040 Abbey Rd Suite 104 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 3440 Seminole Trl | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1986 Abbey Rd | open |
| K.l.kirbyllc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 594 Pantops Ctr | open | |
| Kabuto Sushi & Teppanyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1836 Abbey Rd | open |
| Kohr Bros Frozen Custard Kohr's Bros. | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2151 Richmond Rd | open |
| Lazy Parrot Backyard BBQ | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 594 S Pantops Dr | open |
| Lazy Parrot Grill | Bar | 532 Pantops Ctr | open | |
| Lelo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1880 Abbey Rd | open |
| Mane Course Sandwiches | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 179 Connor Dr | open |
| Maple Pine Breakfast & Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Breakfast · Asian | 630 Riverside Shops Way | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 930 Olympia Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1294 Stoney Point Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3287 Worth Xing | open |
| Mi Casita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 312 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Michael's Diner and Restaurant | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 3450 Seminole Trail | open |
| Napolitano's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | open | ||
| Newcastle Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3440 Seminole Trl Ste 101 | open |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes | Dessert | Dessert | 149 Community St | open |
| Oriental Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3440 Seminole Trail #107 | open |
| Padow's Hams and Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1000 Research Park Blvd | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 121 Community St | open |
| Ponderosa Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 260 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Quiznos | Other | Sandwiches | 1956 Abbey Rd | open |
| Riverside North | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 1770 Timberwood Blvd | open |
| Sakura | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 237 Connor Dr | open |
| Shadwells Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1791 Richmond Rd | open | |
| Shang Hai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 312 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Shun Xing Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1770 Timberwood Blvd Ste 107 | open |
| Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1980 Abbey Rd. | open |
| Smoothie Kitchen | Other · Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1779 Fortune Park Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2040 Abbey Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Pizza · Coffee · Bakery | 1815 Fortune Park Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 163 Community St | open |
| Sticks Kebob Shop Sticks Kebob Shop Charlottesville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 1820 Abbey Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 300 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Sweetbrier Services Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 930 Olympia Dr Ste 103 | open | |
| sweetFrog | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 145 Community St | open |
| Tailwind Cho, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Bowen Loop | open | |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 109 Community St | open |
| The Cake Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1230 Knightsbridge Ct | open | |
| The Copper Teat Drinkery | Bar | 1706 Monet Hl | open | |
| The Donut Kitchen | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 300 Pantops Ctr | open |
| The Donut Kitchen | Bakery | Bakery | 300 Pantops Ctr | open |
| The Filling Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches | 5046 Seminole Trl | open |
| The Fox Den | Casual dining · Bar | 341 Towncenter Ln | open | |
| Timberwood Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · Steakhouse | 3311 Worth Xing | open |
| Tip Top Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1420 Richmond Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 930 Olympia Drive | open |
| Turbo Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Bowen Loop | open | |
| Vinny's Italian Grill and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 241 Conner Dr | open |
| Virginia BBQ Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 3449 Seminole Trl | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 159 Community St | open |
| Zizza Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 394 Pantops Ctr | open |
| Dao, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103B Free Bridge Ln | closed | |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 1192 Richmond Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 44 | 43 | 19 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 39 | 17 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 47 | 42 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 45 | 41 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 42 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 37 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 41 | 15 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 49 | 43 | 16 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 51 | 45 | 17 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 44 | 16 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 49 | 44 | 17 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 47 | 18 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 53 | 46 | 20 | 19 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.