BMIE Market 23139

Powhatan County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,757 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±681 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,247 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,425 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,358 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$405,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	240.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23139
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+244.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+520.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 33–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23139. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.8	87	40%	+34.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.9	79	35%	+27.6
Market Momentum Score	78.8	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,757	87	40%	+34.9
Median household income (ACS)	110,349	87	40%	+34.7
Households (ACS)	10,247	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40.9	78	35%	+27.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	68	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	27,757	87	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	110,349	87	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.8	73	50%	+36.5
10-year restaurant growth	40.9	78	30%	+23.3
20-year restaurant growth	244.4	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (62)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 11 · Café 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1933 Public House	Casual dining · Bar	American	3844 Old Buckingham Rd	open
Allen's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3430 Anderson Hwy	open
Angela's Italian Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3452 Anderson Hwy	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1300 Anderson Highway	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1850 Stavemill Crossing Ln	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2602 Anderson Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1850 Stoneridge Commerce Dr	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1800 S Creek One Ste C	open
Country Food & Furniture	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	Anderson Hwy	open
County Seat Restaurant & Gathering Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3883 Old Buckingham Rd	open
Courthouse Coffee & Creamery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1800 Southcreek One Ste A	open
Crazy Rooster Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1560 Oakbridge Dr	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2650 Wilton Square Place	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Breakfast	2650 Wilton Sq Pl	open
El Cerro Azul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Vegetarian · Latin American (other)	2650 Anderson Hwy	open
El Jinete Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1795 South Creek One	open
Fine Creek Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		2425 Robert E Lee Rd	open
Flatrock Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	2470 Anderson Hwy	open
Four Seasons Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	3867 Old Buckingham Road	open
Frisby's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2150 Anderson Hwy	open
Hog Wild BBQ and Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3835 Little Fighting Creek Rd	open
Home Team Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1795 Southcreek One Ste F	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	5500 Anderson Hwy	open
Iron Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3454 Anderson Hwy	open
Italian Delight Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1795 South Creek One	open
Jae's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	955 Dorset Rd	open
Kfc Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	1793A Southcreek One	open
La Catrina Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Anderson Hwy	open
Luckys Convenience Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2156 Huguenot Trl	open
Mabel's Espresso Bakery Cafe	Café	Coffee	3844 Old Buckingham Rd	open
MABELS - Restaurant & Craft Desserty	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	S Creek One	open
Maidens Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	3847 Maidens Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2485 Anderson Hwy	open
Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2544 Anderson Hwy	open
Muffin's Market	Bakery	Bakery	2610 Farmington Ln	open
New China Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2105 Academy Rd Ste I	open
Osaka Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2105 Academy Road G	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1800 south creek one	open
Pinto- The Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1300 Anderson Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2105 Academy Rd Ste H Suite H	open
Rama's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Rise and Grind Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3879 Old Buckingham Rd	open
Rosa's Italian Pizza and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2470 Anderson Hwy	open
Rosita's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2300 Genito Rd	open
Sam's Hotdog Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	2470 Anderson Hwy Ste C	open
Seoul Mate	Food truck	Korean · Asian	1685 Anderson Hwy	open
Skippers Creek Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		965 Rocky Ford Rd	open
Smok N Pigz BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2090 Anderson Hwy	open
Speedy Gonzales & more Powhatan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3440 Anderson Hwy	open
Star of Grace BBQ	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	Judes Ferry Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2113 Anderson Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1950 Anderson Hwy	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2105 Academy Road, #A	open
Sweet Shop Donuts Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1800 Southcreek One	open
The Cafe At Maidens Llc	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3847 Maidens Rd	open
The Local PVA - Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1795 Southcreek One Ste H	open
Three Crosses Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3835a Old Buckingham Rd	open
Waimea Bay Acai Bowls and Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Coffee	2105 Academy Rd Ste J	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1950 Anderson Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1792 S Creek One	open
Wildwood Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2470 Anderson Hwy	open
Powhatan Snack Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4110 Old Buckingham Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	20	17	9	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	19	9	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	27	23	11	11	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	26	13	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	23	12	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	24	11	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	14	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	14	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	14	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	27	14	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	29	27	14	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	27	14	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	27	15	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	27	13	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	28	14	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	36	32	15	13	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	31	17	11	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 23139. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.