BMIE Market 23323

Chesapeake city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	43,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	35,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,548 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,730 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$388,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23323
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+39.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+88.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 27–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23323. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.0	91	40%	+36.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.7	84	35%	+29.3
Market Momentum Score	49.4	49	25%	+12.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	43,043	95	40%	+38.0
Median household income (ACS)	108,730	86	40%	+34.4
Households (ACS)	14,631	93	20%	+18.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	39.1	77	35%	+26.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.4	83	25%	+20.7
Population (ACS)	43,043	95	20%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	108,730	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.0	24	50%	+12.2
10-year restaurant growth	39.1	77	30%	+23.0
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 20 · Pizza 8 · Mexican 7 · Burgers 6 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Caribbean 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Bar 8 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
757 Grill	Bar		2917 S Military Hwy	open
Americas Best Hot Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1075 George Washington Hwy N A1	open
Arbor Sub and Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Sandwiches	3330 S Military Hwy #107	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3464 S Military Hwy	open
Brooklyn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3353 S Military Hwy	open
C & B Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1102 George Washington Hwy N	open
Chanello's Pizza Chanello's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1122 George Washington Hwy N	open
Cooper's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Bar		1312 George Washington Hwy N	open
Dave & Papa's Bar & Porch	Bar · Casual dining		2613 Powell Cir	open
Deep Creek Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3353 S Military Hwy	open
Deep Creek Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		801 Butler St Ste 12	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1075 George Washington Hwy N	open
Dula's Fish on the Fly	Food truck	American · Seafood	3025 S Military Hwy	open
El Puente Mexican Grill El Potrillo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2617 Moses Grandy Trail Ste 122	open
Elmwood Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3403 Flying Star Ct	open
Family wellness club	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3228 S Military Hwy	open
Golden China	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	2617 Moses Grandy Trail	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1114 George Washington Hwy N	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	109 S George Washington	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	864 N. George Washington Hwy	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1433 George Washington	open
Hot Stuff Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3591 S Military Hwy	open
Hypnotic's Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1312 George Washington Hwy N	open
Jezreel International	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1220 Fleetway Dr	open
Johnson's Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2904 S Military Hwy	open
King Wok Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1075B George Washington Hwy N	open
Kings Restaurant and Hookah Bar Kings Restaurant and Hookah Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2917 S Military Hwy	open
Kiss My Gritz	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1075 George Washington Highway N	open
La Comercial Tienda & Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2947 S Military Hwy	open
Maple & Marley Breakfast Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	648 Grassfield Pkwy #5	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3350 S Military Hwy	open
MilkShake Factory Grassfield MilkShake Factory	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	648 Grassfield Pkwy	open
Milly's	Bar · Casual dining	American	2934 S Military Hwy	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3360 s military hwy	open
Pelican’s Snoballs - Chesapeake	Dessert		1124 George Washington Hwy N	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3302 S Military Hwy #6 #6	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2617 Moses Grandy Trail #110	open
Ray's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2444 Cedar Rd	open
Razorback Razorback	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers · American	3737 Holland Blvd # E	open
Sheila’s Sugar	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1929 Millville Rd	open
Shun Xing Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2808 Yadkin Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	2621 Moses Grandy Trail	open
Storybook Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	136 Terwillinger Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2808 Yadkin Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		3448 S Military Highway	open
TANKO JAPAN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2617 Moses Grandy Trail	open
Tap It Local	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining		648 Grassfield Pkwy #12	open
Taqueria Hidalgo EN CHESAPEKE VA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1120 George Washington Hwy	open
Taqueria La Guerrerense	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	917 A Canal Dr	open
Taquería La nena	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3112 S Military Hwy	open
Taqueria La Patrona - Grassfield Taqueria La Patrona	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	648 Grassfield Pkwy #9	open
Taqueria Mi Rincon Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3228 S Military Hwy	open
Th Creek Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1156 George Washington Hwy N	open
The BBQ Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	849 Old George Washington Hwy N	open
Totally Delicious Ja Style Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	3353 S Military Hwy	open
UCrave Subs and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1075 George Washington Hwy N	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	117 George Washington Hwy S	open
Washington Shoppes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		838 Old George Washington Hwy N	open
Zino's Italian American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	850 Old George Washington Hwy N	open
Lil' Yeti Snoballs	Dessert	Dessert	1124 George Washington Hwy N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	30	27	9	16	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	31	28	10	16	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	32	30	13	15	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	30	27	10	16	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	21	7	14	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	25	20	7	13	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	27	22	8	13	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	22	18	6	11	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	5	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	23	6	15	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	26	23	6	15	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	5	16	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	7	15	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	26	24	6	16	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	21	8	13	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	26	23	10	13	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	25	23	11	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	28	27	13	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	29	28	14	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	30	14	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	33	16	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	26	14	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	29	16	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	15	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	27	15	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	32	16	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 23323. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.