BMIE Market 23453
Virginia Beach city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 34,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±639 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 35,960 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,701 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $93,838 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,871 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $336,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,836 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23453 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +8.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +60.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +428.6% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 40–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23453. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.3 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81.2 | 81 | 35% | +28.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 73.7 | 74 | 25% | +18.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 34,482 | 91 | 40% | +36.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,838 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,681 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60.9 | 86 | 35% | +30.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.7 | 69 | 25% | +17.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 34,482 | 91 | 20% | +18.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,838 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 74 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 8.8 | 66 | 50% | +41.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60.9 | 86 | 30% | +32.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
Asian 10 · American 9 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Coffee 5 · Seafood 5 · Chinese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Caribbean 3 · Filipino 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Cuban 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 13 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 1505 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Beaver Falls Treasures | Bakery | Bakery | 3640 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Bliss Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1496 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Boil Bay Cajun Seafood and Bar Hook & Reel Cajun Seafood & Bar USA | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 3244 Holland Rd #100a | open |
| Brooklyn NY Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1501 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Bubba's Deli & BBQ | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · BBQ · American | 3600 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Buko Resto-Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 1917 S Independence Blvd #106 | open |
| Capital Vision Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3200 Dam Neck Rd Ste 103 | open | |
| Captain K | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Castaways Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3208 Holland Rd Ste 114 | open | |
| Chanello’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2088 S Independence Blvd | open |
| Chef Skip 757 | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 1591 Dahlia Dr | open | |
| China East Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3545 Buckner Blvd | open |
| China Ocean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3208 Holland Rd #118 | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1505 Lynnhaven Pkwy #1345 | open |
| Cigar lounge | Bar | 1363 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open | |
| City of Virginia Beach | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | open | ||
| Clubhouse Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 3208 Holland Rd | open | |
| Cupcake Central | Bakery | Bakery | 3600 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| De Rican Chef Holland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 3208 Holland Rd | open |
| Domoishi Domoishi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 3545 Buckner Blvd #106 | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2052 South Independence Boulevard | open |
| Enchanted Eric's Tiki Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2672 Cantwell Rd | open | |
| Fairy Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3601 Light Horse Loop | open |
| Felynn Oriental Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 1943 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Flaming Japan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3545 Buckner Blvd #109 | open |
| Gettingcrabby.com | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2505 Horse Pasture Rd | open |
| Gilly's Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3640 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Golden China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2052 S Independence Blvd Ste 5 | open |
| Grits To Gumbo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy Ste 1560 | open | |
| Hacienda Cocina y Cantina Hacienda Cocina & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | Calle Gomez Farias S/N, Colonia El Medano | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3252 Holland Road | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1951 Lynnhaven Parkway | open |
| Heritage Bake Shoppe | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert | Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert | 3600 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Ihaw Ihaw Filipino Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Joyu Tea & Coffee | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 3545 Buckner Blvd | open |
| Kapamilya Oriental Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1405 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2072 S. Independence Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 1917 S Independence Blvd | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea Lynnhaven | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy Unit 113 | open |
| La Fuente Azteca Mexican Cuisine | Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1505 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Lanna's Village Inn | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Las Brasas Peruvian-Mexican Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1505 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Lil dutch pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Seafood | 3205 Spruce Pine Rd | open |
| Lucita's Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1401 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Martins soulfood to -go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Asian | 1505 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Miami Fusion Cuban Bakery & Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 1949 Lynnhaven Pkwy #1560 | open |
| Mist Hookah & Cigar Lounge | Bar | 1917 S Independence Blvd | open | |
| Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 869 Lynnhaven Parkway, Virginia Beach, VA 23452, United States | open |
| No. 1 Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3545 Buckner Blvd Ste 101 | open |
| Palm and Press Bistro Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Cuban · American | 1363 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2052 S Independence Blvd #004 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3545 Buckner Blvd | open |
| Pasta E Pani | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1393 London Bridge Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Pelican's SnoBalls | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3208 Holland Rd Virginia Beach City | open |
| PMS Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1789 London Bridge Rd | open |
| PnayCake atbp. | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Prince Tea House Prince Tea House VB | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 3244 Holland Rd #110 | open |
| Princess Anne County Grill | Casual dining | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3640 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Ready Room | Bar · Casual dining | 1805 London Bridge Rd | open | |
| Reaver Beach Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1505 Taylor Farm Rd | open | |
| Sal's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1917 S Independence Blvd | open |
| Seasons Best Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3640 Dam Neck Rd Ste 114 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2060 S Independence Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1817 London Bridge Rd | open |
| sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2052 S Independence Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3209 Holland Rd | open |
| The Amazing African Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 1917 S Independence Blvd | open |
| The Dirty Buffalo The Dirty Buffalo | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2080 S Independence Blvd | open |
| The Lounge of Virginia Beach | Bar | 1363 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open | |
| The SnoBall Shop | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 1401B Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| The Thirsty Frog, LLC | Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1528 Taylor Farm Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 1521 Lynnhaven Pkwy | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3201 Holland Rd | open |
| Yoder's Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 3600 Dam Neck Rd | open |
| Young Veterans Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2505 Horse Pasture Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 27 | 12 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 17 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |