BMIE Market 23693
York County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,026 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,292 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,745 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $124,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,779 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $488,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,756 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23693 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +80.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +370.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 49–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23693. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.0 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.6 | 66 | 35% | +23.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 46.3 | 46 | 25% | +11.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,176 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 124,433 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,026 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.5 | 61 | 35% | +21.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.3 | 37 | 25% | +9.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,176 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 124,433 | 92 | 20% | +18.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.1 | 25 | 50% | +12.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.5 | 61 | 30% | +18.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 80.8 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
Coffee 11 · Pizza 9 · American 8 · Asian 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Japanese 6 · Sushi 5 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 14 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Amigos Mexican Restaurant 3 Amigos Centerville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3120 Kiln Creek Pkwy | open |
| Ace's Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5005 Victory Blvd | open | |
| Alpha Pitt Smokers | Catering | BBQ · American | 2960 Suite A, Hampton Hwy | open |
| Andrea's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1730 George Washington Memorial Hwy Suite A | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 2601 Geo. Washington Mem. Hwy | open |
| Berrybody | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1213 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| Big Boo Bbq Llc | Food truck | 5007 Victory Blvd Ste C | open | |
| Boldy Bar & Grill | Bar | 110 Russell Ln | open | |
| Café Full Circle | Café | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast | 1730 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| Candy King | Dessert | Dessert | 105 Professional Pkwy Suite 1505 | open |
| Canvas Coffee Roasters | Café | Coffee | 400 Commerce Cir Ste G | open |
| Cheesecakes That Matter | Bakery | Bakery | 110 Swanson Ct | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5003 Victory Blvd | open |
| ChillOut Dairy Queen | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2809 Hampton Highway Route 134 | open |
| China Bowl Restaurant (YORKTOWN) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3301 J Hampton Hwy | open |
| Cookie Text | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 101 Freemans Trce | open |
| County Grill & Smokehouse | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 1215 George Washington Memorial Hwy A | open |
| Curry Corridor Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Indian | 209 Village Ave F | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2805 Highway 17 | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1724 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| E & Y Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3301 Hampton Hwy Ste K | open | |
| Flowers Bakery Outlet | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1404 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| Food Craft | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American | 5005 Victory Blvd | open |
| Gus's New York Pizza Yorktown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 209 Village Ave Ste F | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5001 Victory Blvd | open |
| Henrys Raw Bar and Sea Grill | Bar | 1215 George Washington Mem Hwy | open | |
| Hibachi Express | Japanese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2960 Hampton Hwy | open |
| Italian Delights | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 2643 George Washington Mem Hwy Ste H | open |
| Jai Ganesh Aar Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2601 George Washington Mem Hwy | open | |
| Jay Gayatri Enterprises Of Va Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2900 Hampton Hwy Ste F | open | |
| Jimmy da Greek's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean | 1215 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| Kero Sushi and Japanese Restaurant KERO SUSHI - Graneros. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5005B Victory Blvd | open |
| Koreana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Korean · Asian | 3120 Kiln Creek Pkwy | open |
| Kyung Sung Restuarant Of Williamsburg Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3120 Kiln Creek Pkwy Ste K | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2635 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| Meowchi Donut | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 5005 Victory Blvd, Ste A3 | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 5009 Victory Blvd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2643 George Washington Mem Hwy Ste C | open |
| Papi's Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2900 Hampton Hwy | open |
| Persnickety Crane Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 209 Village Ave Ste C | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5003B Victory Blvd | open |
| Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2900 Hampton Hwy | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3150 Kiln Creek Pkwy | open |
| Ricco's Pizza & Wings Yorktown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 209 Village Ave | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3150 Kiln Creek Pkwy | open |
| Sam's Wings & Subs & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Greek · Burgers · Sandwiches · Pizza | 3301 Hampton Hwy K | open |
| Shibam Mix Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 1215Q George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| Silver Mine Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 1215 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| Skrimp Shack | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · Seafood | 2643 George Washington Memorial Hwy, F | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2514 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5007 Victory Blvd | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2601 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2900 Hampton Hwy Suite F | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5005 Victory Blvd Unit 15 | open |
| Sweet Dreams Bakery Bar & Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1215 George Washington Mem Hwy Ste Q | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 5003-C Victory Blvd. | open |
| Tasha Todd Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 Mill Rd Ste A | open | |
| Tastykake | Bakery | Bakery | 201 George Emerson Ln # 235 | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 109 Cybernetics Way | open |
| Thai Erawan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2960 Hampton Hwy A | open |
| The Burning Leaf Cigar Lounge | Bar | 1730 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open | |
| The Cater's Outdoor Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 119 Buffie Rd | open | |
| The Whale Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 5005 Victory Blvd C, Yorktown, VA 23693 | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2643 George Washington Memorial Highway | open |
| Uno Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Pizza | 5007 Victory Blvd #120 | open |
| UNO Pizzeria & Grill Uno Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5007 Victory Blvd | open |
| Vintner's Cellar Winery of Yorktown | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1213 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2601 George Washington Mem Hwy | open |
| Wings To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 211 Village Ave Ste B | open |
| Wonderful Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 2900 Hampton Hwy | open |
| Yamachen Sushi Yama Sushi Roll House Yorktown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 209 Village Ave H | open |
| York Gardens & Tearoom | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · British / Irish pub food | 1126 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| York Music Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2808 George Washington Memorial Hwy | open |
| Yukihana Japanese Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 3301 Hampton Hwy | open |
| Tape 22 Drywall And Paint Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2919 George Washington Mem Hwy | closed | |
| Tokio Express Hibachi & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Japanese | 1900 George Washington Mem Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 21 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 41 | 40 | 19 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 40 | 21 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 43 | 42 | 17 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 41 | 40 | 16 | 19 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 46 | 19 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 49 | 48 | 21 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 48 | 47 | 20 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 52 | 50 | 20 | 25 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 48 | 20 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 47 | 22 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 47 | 22 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |